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This paper studies nonparametric local (over-)identification and the semiparametric efficiency in modern causal frameworks. We develop a unified approach that begins by translating structural models with latent variables into their induced…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-02 Xiaohong Chen , Haitian Xie

Identifying the Markov properties or conditional independencies of a collection of random variables is a fundamental task in statistics for modeling and inference. Existing approaches often learn the structure of a probabilistic graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Sarah Liaw , Rebecca Morrison , Youssef Marzouk , Ricardo Baptista

This paper proposes a unified framework to quantify local and global inferential uncertainty for high dimensional nonparanormal graphical models. In particular, we consider the problems of testing the presence of a single edge and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-01 Quanquan Gu , Yuan Cao , Yang Ning , Han Liu

Finding the parameters of a latent variable causal model is central to causal inference and causal identification. In this article, we show that existing graphical structures that are used in causal inference are not stable under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Mehrzad Saremi

Visual autoregressive (VAR) models have recently emerged as a promising alternative for image generation, offering stable training, non-iterative inference, and high-fidelity synthesis through next-scale prediction. This encourages the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Cencen Liu , Dongyang Zhang , Wen Yin , Jielei Wang , Tianyu Li , Ji Guo , Wenbo Jiang , Guoqing Wang , Guoming Lu

Large VARs are increasingly used in structural analysis as a unified framework to study the impacts of multiple structural shocks simultaneously. However, the concurrent identification of multiple shocks using sign and ranking restrictions…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-27 Joshua Chan , Christian Matthes , Xuewen Yu

While local basis function (LBF) estimation algorithms, commonly used for identifying/tracking systems with time-varying parameters, demonstrate good performance under the assumption of normally distributed measurement noise, the estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Maciej Niedźwiecki , Artur Gańcza , Wojciech Żuławiński , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

A local projection model is defined by a set of linear regressions that account for the associations between exogenous variables and an endogenous variable observed at different time points. While it is standard practice to separately…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Masahiro Tanaka

We study the problem of selecting covariates for unbiased estimation of the total causal effect.Existing approaches typically rely on global causal structure learning over all variables, or on strong assumptions such as causal sufficiency -…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Zeyu Liu , Zheng Li , Feng Xie , Yan Zeng , Hao Zhang , Kun Zhang

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

We take a new perspective on identification in structural dynamic models: rather than imposing restrictions alone, we optimize an objective. While definitive structural identification ultimately requires exogenous economic insight, a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Neville Francis , Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

Machines that can replicate human intelligence with type 2 reasoning capabilities should be able to reason at multiple levels of spatio-temporal abstractions and scales using internal world models. Devising formalisms to develop such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Vaisakh Shaj

Sparse structure learning in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models is an important problem in multivariate statistical signal processing; since the sparsity pattern naturally encodes the conditional independence relationship among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ksheera Sagar , Jyotishka Datta , Sayantan Banerjee , Anindya Bhadra

Structural equation models are multivariate statistical models that are defined by specifying noisy functional relationships among random variables. We consider the classical case of linear relationships and additive Gaussian noise terms.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Mathias Drton , Rina Foygel , Seth Sullivant

We propose a high-dimensional structural vector autoregression framework with a factor structure in the error terms that accommodates a large number of linear inequality restrictions on both impact impulse responses and structural shocks.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Lukas Berend , Jan Prüser

This paper addresses the inference of spatial dependence in the context of a recently proposed framework. More specifically, the paper focuses on the estimation of model parameters for a class of generalized Gibbs random fields, i.e.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Samuel Elogne , Dionisis Hristopulos

This paper presents a new method for spatially adaptive local (constant) likelihood estimation which applies to a broad class of nonparametric models, including the Gaussian, Poisson and binary response models. The main idea of the method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Spokoiny

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In this paper, we study the problem of semi-supervised structured output prediction, which aims to learn predictors for structured outputs, such as sequences, tree nodes, vectors, etc., from a set of data points of both input-output pairs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Xin Du
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