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Related papers: Tail Bounds for Canonical $U$-Statistics and $U$-P…

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We address the problem of estimating the Weibull tail-coefficient which is the regular variation exponent of the inverse failure rate function. We propose a family of estimators of this coefficient and an associate extreme quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-04 Laurent Gardes , Stéphane Girard

We introduce a new statistical tool (the TP-statistic and TE-statistic) designed specifically to compare the behavior of the sample tail of distributions with power-law and exponential tails as a function of the lower threshold u. One…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

It is shown that functions defined on $\{0,1,...,r-1\}^n$ satisfying certain conditions of bounded differences that guarantee sub-Gaussian tail behavior also satisfy a much stronger ``local'' sub-Gaussian property. For self-bounding and…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi

Modeling and predicting extreme movements in GDP is notoriously difficult and the selection of appropriate covariates and/or possible forms of nonlinearities are key in obtaining precise forecasts. In this paper, our focus is on using large…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-25 Jan Prüser , Florian Huber

We show that kernel-based quadrature rules for computing integrals can be seen as a special case of random feature expansions for positive definite kernels, for a particular decomposition that always exists for such kernels. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Francis Bach

We establish an upper bound on the tails of a random variable that arises as a solution of a stochastic difference equation. In the non--negative case our bound is similar to a lower bound obtained by Goldie and Gr\"ubel in 1996.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-12 Pawel Hitczenko

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei

We study the bias of random bounded-degree polynomials over odd prime fields and show that, with probability exponentially close to 1, such polynomials have exponentially small bias. This also yields an exponential tail bound on the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Paul Beame , Shayan Oveis Gharan , Xin Yang

In this paper, by using the exact tail asymptotics derived by Debicki, Hashorva and Ji (Ann. Probab. 2014), we proved the Gumbel limit theorem for the maximum of a class of non-homogeneous Gaussian random fields. By using the obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Zhongquan Tan

In several different fields, there is interest in analyzing the upper or lower tail quantile of the underlying distribution rather than mean or center quantile. However, the investigation of the tail quantile is difficult because of data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Takuma Yoshida

We provide finite sample upper and lower bounds on the Binomial tail probability which are a direct application of Sanov's theorem. We then use these to obtain high probability upper and lower bounds on the minimum of i.i.d. Binomial random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro

Estimating extreme quantiles is an important task in many applications, including financial risk management and climatology. More important than estimating the quantile itself is to insure zero coverage error, which implies the quantile…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-08 Douglas E. Johnston

We obtain Gaussian upper bounds for heat kernels of higher order differential operators with Dirichlet boundary conditions on bounded domains in $\R^N$. The bounds exhibit explicitly the nature of the spatial decay of the heat kernel close…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Narinder Claire

We derive exponential tail inequalities for sums of random matrices with no dependence on the explicit matrix dimensions. These are similar to the matrix versions of the Chernoff bound and Bernstein inequality except with the explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Extremal clusters of stationary processes with long memory can be quite intricate. For certain stationary infinitely divisible processes with subexponential tails, including both power-like tails and certain lighter tails, e.g.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Zaoli Chen , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Let ${X_n, n \ge 1}$ be a sequence of stationary associated random variables. For such a sequence, we discuss the limiting behavior of U-statistics based on kernels which are of bounded Hardy-Krause variation.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Mansi Garg , Isha Dewan

Under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck semigroup $\{U_t\}$, any non-negative measurable $f : \mathbb R^n \to \mathbb R_+$ exhibits a uniform tail bound better than that implied by Markov's inequality and conservation of mass: For every $\alpha \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ronen Eldan , James R. Lee

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

Let $\{X(t),t\ge0\}$ be a centered Gaussian process and let $\gamma$ be a non-negative constant. In this paper we study the asymptotics of $P\{\underset{t\in [0,\mathcal{T}/u^\gamma]}\sup X(t)>u\}$ as $u\to\infty$, with $\mathcal{T}$ an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

The Hoeffding-type-inequalities are obtained for the distribution tails of canonical (degenerate) U- and V-statistics of an arbitrary order based on samples from a stationary sequence of observations satisfying $\rho$-mixing.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-02 I. S. Borisov , N. Volodko