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Reconstructing patterns of interconnections from partial information is one of the most important issues in the statistical physics of complex networks. A paramount example is provided by financial networks. In fact, the spreading and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-20 Tiziano Squartini , Assaf Almog , Guido Caldarelli , Iman van Lelyveld , Diego Garlaschelli , Giulio Cimini

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

The rapidly increasing availability of large amounts of granular financial data, paired with the advances of big data related technologies induces the need of suitable analytics that can represent and extract meaningful information from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-07 Ilias Aarab , Thomas Gottron

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We address a fundamental problem that is systematically encountered when modeling complex systems: the limitedness of the information available. In the case of economic and financial networks, privacy issues severely limit the information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-07 Giulio Cimini , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli , Andrea Gabrielli

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

Financial speculators often seek to increase their potential gains with leverage. Debt is a popular form of leverage, and with over 39.88B USD of total value locked (TVL), the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) lending markets are thriving.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-04 Kaihua Qin , Liyi Zhou , Pablo Gamito , Philipp Jovanovic , Arthur Gervais

Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

This paper empirically analyzes a dataset published by the European Banking Authority. Our main aim was to study how the Leverage Ratio is affected by adverse financial scenarios. This was be followed by observing how Leverage Ratio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-27 Jatin Dhingra , Kartikeya Singh , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

European Monetary Union continues to be characterised by significant macroeconomic imbalances. Germany has shown increasing current account surpluses at the expense of the other member states (especially the European periphery). Since the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-21 Giovanni Carnazza , Pierluigi Vellucci

The long-lasting socio-economic impact of the global financial crisis has questioned the adequacy of traditional tools in explaining periods of financial distress, as well as the adequacy of the existing policy response. In particular, the…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-21 Chiara Perillo , Stefano Battiston

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tilman Dette , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

The report attempts of apply econophysics concepts to the Eurozone crisis. It starts by examining the idea of conservation laws as applied to market economies. It formulates a measure of financial entropy and gives numerical simulations…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-30 Paul Cockshott , David Zachariah

We study the frictions in the patterns of trades in the Euro money market. We characterize the structure of lending relations during the period of recent financial turmoil. We use network-topology method on data from overnight transactions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-24 Caterina Liberati , Massimiliano Marzo , Paolo Zagaglia , Paola Zappa

We derive the default cascade model and the fire-sale spillover model in a unified interdependent framework. The interactions among banks include not only direct cross-holding, but also indirect dependency by holding mutual assets outside…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 William A. Barnett , Xue Wang , Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou

The events of the last few years revealed an acute need for tools to systematically model and analyze large financial networks. Many applications of such tools include the forecasting of systemic failures and analyzing probable effects of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-19 Zhang Li , Ilya Pollak

The monetary transmission channel is disrupted by many factors, especially securitization and liquidity traps. In our study we try to estimate the effect of securitization on the interest elasticity and to identify if a liquidity trap…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-14 Sebastian Dragoe , Camelia Oprean-Stan
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