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Consider discrete values of functions shifted by unobserved translation effects, which are independent realizations of a random variable with unknown distribution $\mu$, modeling the variability in the response of each individual. Our aim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Ismael Castillo , Jean-Michel Loubes

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

Density Estimation is one of the central areas of statistics whose purpose is to estimate the probability density function underlying the observed data. It serves as a building block for many tasks in statistical inference, visualization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Zhipeng Wang , David W. Scott

An important estimation problem that is closely related to large-scale multiple testing is that of estimating the null density and the proportion of nonnull effects. A few estimators have been introduced in the literature; however, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-12 T. Tony Cai , Jiashun Jin

Binary density ratio estimation (DRE), the problem of estimating the ratio $p_1/p_2$ given their empirical samples, provides the foundation for many state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms such as contrastive representation learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Lantao Yu , Yujia Jin , Stefano Ermon

Covariate shift is a common transfer learning scenario where the marginal distributions of input variables vary between source and target data while the conditional distribution of the output variable remains consistent. The existing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Petr Zamolodtchikov , Hanyuan Hang

Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Egor Antipov , Alessandro Palma , Lorenzo Consoli , Stephan Günnemann , Andrea Dittadi , Fabian J. Theis

Morden deep ensembles technique achieves strong uncertainty estimation performance by going through multiple forward passes with different models. This is at the price of a high storage space and a slow speed in the inference (test) time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Tobias Brock , Thomas Nagler

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many observations of the densities is a central problem in machine learning and statistics with applications in two-sample testing, divergence estimation, generative modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Werner Zellinger , Stefan Kindermann , Sergei V. Pereverzyev

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many samples, is a central task in machine learning and statistics. In this work, we show that a large class of kernel methods for density ratio estimation suffers from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Lukas Gruber , Markus Holzleitner , Johannes Lehner , Sepp Hochreiter , Werner Zellinger

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a core technique in machine learning used to capture relationships between two probability distributions. $f$-divergence loss functions, which are derived from variational representations of $f$-divergence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yoshiaki Kitazawa

Spectral density estimation is a core problem of system identification, which is an important research area of system control and signal processing. There have been numerous results on the design of spectral density estimators. However to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Guangyu Wu , Anders Lindquist

A procedure based on a Mixture Density Model for correcting experimental data for distortions due to finite resolution and limited detector acceptance is presented. Addressing the case that the solution is known to be non-negative, in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-09 Nikolai Gagunashvili

Non-linear latent variable models have become increasingly popular in a variety of applications. However, there has been little study on theoretical properties of these models. In this article, we study rates of posterior contraction in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , David Dunson

Density ratio estimation serves as an important technique in the unsupervised machine learning toolbox. However, such ratios are difficult to estimate for complex, high-dimensional data, particularly when the densities of interest are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Kristy Choi , Madeline Liao , Stefano Ermon

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

We employ optimal control theory to study the problem of estimating the probability density function from a data set originating from an unknown probability distribution. The original variational problem is reformulated as a multi-stage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Hegland , C. Yalçın Kaya

Spectral algorithms leverage spectral regularization techniques to analyze and process data, providing a flexible framework for addressing supervised learning problems. To deepen our understanding of their performance in real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Jun Fan , Zheng-Chu Guo , Lei Shi