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We investigate how Simpson's paradox affects analysis of trends in social data. According to the paradox, the trends observed in data that has been aggregated over an entire population may be different from, and even opposite to, those of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Nazanin Alipourfard , Peter G. Fennell , Kristina Lerman

We consider portfolio optimization under a preference model in a single-period, complete market. This preference model includes Yaari's dual theory of choice and quantile maximization as special cases. We characterize when the optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Xue Dong He , Zhaoli Jiang

This paper studies an incentive structure for cooperation and its stability in peer-assisted services when there exist multiple content providers, using a coalition game theoretic approach. We first consider a generalized coalition…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Jeong-woo Cho , Yung Yi

We consider an occupation market in which preferences of members are treated as non linear general increasing functions. The arrangement of members is separated into two non over-lapping sets, set of workers and set of firms. We consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Yasir Ali , Baqar Ali

Recent work in iterative voting has defined the additive dynamic price of anarchy (ADPoA) as the difference in social welfare between the truthful and worst-case equilibrium profiles resulting from repeated strategic manipulations. While…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Joshua Kavner , Lirong Xia

We consider a participatory budgeting problem in which each voter submits a proposal for how to divide a single divisible resource (such as money or time) among several possible alternatives (such as public projects or activities) and these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Rupert Freeman , David M. Pennock , Dominik Peters , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

This study employs a co-integrated socio-economic model to investigate the long-run drivers of Chinese government expenditure on public pensions, addressing critical stability and sustainability challenges. Our methodology establishes a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-28 Mostafa Raeisi Sarkandiz

This paper studies identification and inference of the welfare gain that results from switching from one policy (such as the status quo policy) to another policy. The welfare gain is not point identified in general when data are obtained…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Undral Byambadalai

Simple agent based exchange models are a commonplace in the study of wealth distribution in an artificial economy. Generally, in a system that is composed of many agents characterized by their wealth and risk-aversion factor, two agents are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-24 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves , José Roberto Iglesias

Voluntary insurance contracts constitute a puzzle because they increase the expectation value of one party's wealth, whereas both parties must sign for such contracts to exist. Classically, the puzzle is resolved by introducing non-linear…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-14 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo

Every time drivers take to the road, and with each mile that they drive, exposes themselves and others to the risk of an accident. Insurance premiums are only weakly linked to mileage, however, and have lump-sum characteristics largely. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-11 Safoora Zarei , Ali R. Fallahi

We uncover a new anomaly in asset pricing that is linked to the remuneration: the more a company spends on salaries and benefits per employee, the better its stock performs, on average. Moreover, the companies adopting similar remuneration…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Sebastien Valeyre , Denis Grebenkov , Sofiane Aboura , Francois Bonnin

Price of anarchy quantifies the degradation of social welfare in games due to the lack of a centralized authority that can enforce the optimal outcome. At its antipodes, mechanism design studies how to ameliorate these effects by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Kurtuluş Gemici , Elias Koutsoupias , Barnabé Monnot , Christos Papadimitriou , Georgios Piliouras

This paper studies the optimal investment problem for a hybrid pension plan under model uncertainty, where both the contribution and the benefit are adjusted depending on the performance of the plan. Furthermore, an age and time-dependent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Ke Fu , Ximin Rong , Hui Zhao

The article examines how institutions, automation, unemployment and income distribution interact in the context of a neoclassical growth model where profits are interpreted as a surplus over costs of production. Adjusting the model to the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-29 Juan E. Jacobo

Cooperation between individuals is emergent in all parts of society, yet mechanistic reasons for this emergence is ill understood in the literature. A specific example of this is insurance. Recent work has, though, shown that assuming the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-20 Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps , Benjamin Skjold

In UK data, I document the prevalence of misbeliefs regarding the State Pension eligibility age (SPA) and their predictivity for retirement. Exploiting policy variation, I estimate a lifecycle model of retirement in which, motivated by…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Jamie Hentall-MacCuish

It is a widely observed phenomenon that wealth is distributed significantly more unequal than wages. In this paper we study this phenomenon using a new extension of P\'olyas urn, modelling wealth growth through wages and capital returns. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

Facing the threats of infectious diseases, we take various actions to protect ourselves, but few studies considered an evolving system with competing strategies. In view of that, we propose an evolutionary epidemic model coupled with human…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-26 Hai-Feng Zhang , Zimo Yang , Zhi-Xi Wu , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou