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This paper presents first results for near optimality in expectation of the closed-loop solutions for stochastic economic MPC. The approach relies on a recently developed turnpike property for stochastic optimal control problems at an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser , Michael H. Baumann , Lars Grüne

Chance constraints are widely used in stochastic model predictive control (MPC) to enforce probabilistic state and input constraints in the presence of unbounded disturbances. However, they only restrict violation probabilities and do not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Michael H. Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is well understood in the deterministic setting, yet rigorous stability and performance guarantees for stochastic MPC remain limited to the consideration of terminal constraints and penalties. In contrast,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Jonas Schießl , Hannah Selder , Ruchuan Ou , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Timm Faulwasser , Lars Grüne

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we provide non-averaged and transient performance guarantees for recently developed, tube-based robust economic model predictive control (MPC) schemes. In particular, we consider both tube-based MPC schemes with and without…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Christian Klöppelt , Lukas Schwenkel , Frank Allgöwer , Matthias A. Müller

Risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) offers a control framework that allows one to account for ambiguity in the knowledge of the underlying probability distribution and unifies stochastic and worst-case MPC. In this paper we study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Pantelis Sopasakis , Domagoj Herceg , Alberto Bemporad , Panagiotis Patrinos

In this paper we present a framework for risk-sensitive model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by stochastic multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider a time-consistent, dynamic risk evaluation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-26 Sumeet Singh , Yin-Lam Chow , Anirudha Majumdar , Marco Pavone

In this paper, we propose a Risk-Averse Priced Timed Automata (PTA) Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to increase flexibility of cyber-physical systems. To improve flexibility in these systems, our risk-averse framework solves a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

The aim of this paper is to investigate risk-averse and distributionally robust modeling of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Process (MDP). We discuss construction of conditional nested risk functionals, a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Alexander Shapiro , Yan Li

The problem of achieving a good trade-off in Stochastic Model Predictive Control between the competing goals of improving the average performance and reducing conservativeness, while still guaranteeing recursive feasibility and low…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Matthias Lorenzen , Frank Allgöwer , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

This paper concerns the risk-aware control of stochastic systems with temporal logic specifications dynamically assigned during runtime. Conventional risk-aware control typically assumes that all specifications are predefined and remain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Maico H. W. Engelaar , Zengjie Zhang , Mircea Lazar , Sofie Haesaert

In this paper, we present a novel stochastic output-feedback MPC scheme for distributed systems with additive process and measurement noise. The chance constraints are treated with the concept of probabilistic reachable sets, which, under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper proposes an iterative distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) scheme to solve a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem. In each iteration, the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

We propose a Stochastic MPC (SMPC) formulation for path planning with autonomous vehicles in scenarios involving multiple agents with multi-modal predictions. The multi-modal predictions capture the uncertainty of urban driving in distinct…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Siddharth H. Nair , Hotae Lee , Eunhyek Joa , Yan Wang , H. Eric Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

We consider the problem of optimizing the economic performance of nonlinear constrained systems subject to uncertain time-varying parameters and bounded disturbances. In particular, we propose an adaptive economic model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Maximilian Degner , Raffaele Soloperto , Melanie N. Zeilinger , John Lygeros , Johannes Köhler

Model predictive control (MPC) algorithms can be sensitive to model mismatch when used in challenging nonlinear control tasks. In particular, the performance of MPC for vehicle control at the limits of handling suffers when the underlying…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Thomas Lew , Marcus Greiff , Franck Djeumou , Makoto Suminaka , Michael Thompson , John Subosits

We consider the stochastic shortest path planning problem in MDPs, i.e., the problem of designing policies that ensure reaching a goal state from a given initial state with minimum accrued cost. In order to account for rare but important…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Anushri Dixit , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

In this paper, we address the problem of designing stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) schemes for linear systems affected by unbounded disturbances. The contribution of the paper is rooted in a measured-state initialization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Mirko Fiacchini , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene

A robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented for linear, time invariant systems with unknown dynamics and subject to bounded measurement noise. The system is characterized by an impulse response model, which is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-21 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Mingzhou Yin , Mohammad Khosravi , Roy S. Smith
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