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Intermittency is a common and challenging problem in demand forecasting. We introduce a new, unified framework for building intermittent demand forecasting models, which incorporates and allows to generalize existing methods in several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Ali Caner Turkmen , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Ali Taylan Cemgil

When sample data are governed by an unknown sequence of independent but possibly non-identical distributions, the data-generating process (DGP) in general cannot be perfectly identified from the data. For making decisions facing such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-11 Xiaoyu Cheng

We introduce a new class of adaptive policies called periodic-affine policies, that allows a decision maker to optimally manage and control large-scale newsvendor networks in the presence of uncertain demand without distributional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Chaithanya Bandi , Eojin Han , Omid Nohadani

Linearized models of power systems are often desirable to formulate tractable control and optimization problems that still reflect real-world physics adequately under various operating conditions. In this paper, we propose an approach that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Marc Hohmann , Joseph Warrington , John Lygeros

Due to the penetration of renewable energy resources and load deviation, uncertainty handling is one of the main challenges for power system; therefore the need for accurate decision-making in a power system under the penetration of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Mohammad Hemmati , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo , Alireza Soroudi

Distributionally robust optimization is used to tackle decision making problems under uncertainty where the distribution of the uncertain data is ambiguous. Many ambiguity sets have been proposed for continuous uncertainty that build on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Karthik Natarajan , Divya Padmanabhan , Arjun Ramachandra

Traditional approaches to outage-constrained beamforming optimization rely on statistical assumptions about channel distributions and estimation errors. However, the resulting outage probability guarantees are only valid when these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Xin Su , Qiushuo Hou , Ruisi He , Osvaldo Simeone

The increasing use of renewable energy sources (RESs) and responsive loads has made power systems more uncertain. Meanwhile, thanks to the development of advanced metering and forecasting technologies, predictions by RESs and load owners…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Rui Xie , Pierre Pinson , Yin Xu , Yue Chen

The synthesis of adaptive gain-scheduling controller is discussed for continuous-time linear models characterized by polytopic uncertainties. The proposed approach computes the control law assuming the parameters as uncertain and adaptively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Ariany C. Oliveira , Victor C. S. Campos , Leonardo. A. Mozelli

This paper describes a novel approach to planning which takes advantage of decision theory to greatly improve robustness in an uncertain environment. We present an algorithm which computes conditional plans of maximum expected utility. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Stephen G. Pimentel , Lawrence M. Brem

To address the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) generation, scenario forecasting offers a series of stochastic realizations for predictive objects with superior flexibility and direct views. Based on a long time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifei Wu , Bo Wang , Jingshi Cui , Pei-chun Lin , Junzo Watada

Modern discrete manufacturing requires real-time energy and production co-scheduling to reduce business costs. In discrete manufacturing, production lines and equipment are complex and numerous, which introduces significant uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Yiyuan Pan , Zhaojian Wang

The joint management of heat and power systems is believed to be key to the integration of renewables into energy systems with a large penetration of district heating. Determining the day-ahead unit commitment and production schedules for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Marco Zugno , Juan M. Morales , Henrik Madsen

The integration of renewable generation poses operational and economic challenges for the electricity grid. For the core problem of power balance, the legacy paradigm of tailoring supply to follow random demand may be inappropriate under…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-09-25 Ashutosh Nayyar , Matias Negrete-Pincetic , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

In this article, we focus on the problem of mitigating the risk of not being able to meet the power demand, due to the inherent uncertainty of renewable energy generation sources in microgrids. We consider three different demand scenarios,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-20 Arnab Dey , Vivek Khatana , Ankur Mani , Murti V. Salapaka

We consider a combined problem of teaming and scheduling of multi-skilled employees that have to perform jobs with uncertain qualification requirements. We propose two modeling approaches that generate solutions that are robust to possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yulia Anoshkina , Marc Goerigk , Frank Meisel

We consider the problem of efficiently scheduling the production of goods for a model steel manufacturing company. We propose a new approach for solving this classic problem, using techniques from the statistical physics of complex networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-14 Osamu Yamaguchi , Soumen Roy , Raissa M. D'Souza

We consider a class of production-inventory problems with box uncertainty sets from the seminal work of Ben-Tal et al. (2004) on linear decision rules in robust optimization. We prove that there always exists an optimal linear decision rule…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Haihao Lu , Brad Sturt

Many real-world problems require making sequences of decisions where the outcomes of each decision are probabilistic and uncertain, and the availability of different actions is constrained by the outcomes of previous actions. There is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Berk Ozturk , She'ifa Punla-Green , Les Servi

This paper proposes a robust regret control framework in which the performance baseline adapts to the realization of system uncertainty. The plant is modeled as a discrete-time, uncertain linear time-invariant system with real-parametric…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Jietian Liu , Peter Seiler