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Financial forecasting is an example of a signal processing problem which is challenging due to Small sample sizes, high noise, non-stationarity, and non-linearity,but fast forecasting of stock market price is very important for strategic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Arka Ghosh

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have demonstrated remarkable success in numerous graph analytical tasks. Yet, their effectiveness is often compromised in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, limiting their capacity for knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Renhong Huang , Jiarong Xu , Xin Jiang , Ruichuan An , Yang Yang

Source-free domain adaptation is a crucial machine learning topic, as it contains numerous applications in the real world, particularly with respect to data privacy. Existing approaches predominantly focus on Euclidean data, such as images…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Junyu Luo , Yiyang Gu , Xiao Luo , Wei Ju , Zhiping Xiao , Yusheng Zhao , Jingyang Yuan , Ming Zhang

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is widely used for analyzing non-stationary signals. However, its performance is highly sensitive to its parameters, and manual or heuristic tuning often yields suboptimal results. To overcome this…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Sylvain Meignen , Laurent Massoulié

Modeling financial time series by stochastic processes is a challenging task and a central area of research in financial mathematics. As an alternative, we introduce Quant GANs, a data-driven model which is inspired by the recent success of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Magnus Wiese , Robert Knobloch , Ralf Korn , Peter Kretschmer

Accurate forecasting of recovery rates (RR) is central to credit risk management and regulatory capital determination. In many loan portfolios, however, RR modeling is constrained by data scarcity arising from infrequent default events.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-24 Christopher Gerling , Hanqiu Peng , Ying Chen , Stefan Lessmann

The growing use of deep learning necessitates efficient network design and deployment, making neural predictors vital for estimating attributes such as accuracy and latency. Recently, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and transformers have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Ruihan Xu , Haokui Zhang , Yaowei Wang , Wei Zeng , Shiliang Zhang

In this work, a new data-driven fiber channel modeling method, generative adversarial network (GAN) is investigated to learn the distribution of fiber channel transfer function. Our investigation focuses on joint channel effects of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Hang Yang , Zekun Niu , Shilin Xiao , Jiafei Fang , Zhiyang Liu , David Faninsin , Lilin Yi

There has been a recent surge of interest in using machine learning to approximate density functional theory (DFT) in materials science. However, many of the most performant models are evaluated on large databases of computed properties of,…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-07-02 Filip Ekström , Rickard Armiento , Fredrik Lindsten

Graph foundation models (GFMs) have recently emerged as a promising paradigm for achieving broad generalization across various graph data. However, existing GFMs are often trained on datasets that may not fully reflect real-world graphs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Adrian Hayler , Xingyue Huang , İsmail İlkan Ceylan , Michael Bronstein , Ben Finkelshtein

Graph domain adaptation (GDA) is a fundamental task in graph machine learning, with techniques like shift-robust graph neural networks (GNNs) and specialized training procedures to tackle the distribution shift problem. Although these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Ting-Wei Li , Ruizhong Qiu , Hanghang Tong

To address limitations of the graph fractional Fourier transform (GFRFT) Wiener filtering and the traditional joint time-vertex fractional Fourier transform (JFRFT) Wiener filtering, this study proposes a filtering method based on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-30 Ziqi Yan , Zhichao Zhang

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

Time series foundation models (FMs) have emerged as a popular paradigm for zero-shot multi-domain forecasting. These models are trained on numerous diverse datasets and claim to be effective forecasters across multiple different time series…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

When the available data for a target domain is limited, transfer learning (TL) methods can be used to develop models on related data-rich domains, before deploying them on the target domain. However, these TL methods are typically designed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Ricardo Ribeiro Pereira , Jacopo Bono , Hugo Ferreira , Pedro Ribeiro , Carlos Soares , Pedro Bizarro

Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

Machine learning has revolutionized materials property prediction, yet fails catastrophically when extrapolating beyond training distributions-precisely the capability required for discovering unprecedented materials. Graph neural networks…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-02-23 Tasuku Sugiura , Teruyasu Mizoguchi