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In recent years, machine learning models have achieved success based on the independently and identically distributed assumption. However, this assumption can be easily violated in real-world applications, leading to the Out-of-Distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Yifan Hao , Yong Lin , Difan Zou , Tong Zhang

In the realm of stock prediction, machine learning models encounter considerable obstacles due to the inherent low signal-to-noise ratio and the nonstationary nature of financial markets. These challenges often result in spurious…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-28 Songci Xu , Qiangqiang Cheng , Chi-Guhn Lee

Benign overfitting refers to the phenomenon where an over-parameterized model fits the training data perfectly, including noise in the data, but still generalizes well to the unseen test data. While prior work provides some theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Shange Tang , Jiayun Wu , Jianqing Fan , Chi Jin

Deep generative models (DGMs) seem a natural fit for detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs, but such models have been shown to assign higher probabilities or densities to OOD images than images from the training distribution. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Lily H. Zhang , Mark Goldstein , Rajesh Ranganath

A common explanation for the failure of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization is that the model trained with empirical risk minimization (ERM) learns spurious features instead of invariant features. However, several recent studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Yongqiang Chen , Wei Huang , Kaiwen Zhou , Yatao Bian , Bo Han , James Cheng

Supervised learning datasets may contain multiple cues that explain the training set equally well, i.e., learning any of them would lead to the correct predictions on the training data. However, many of them can be spurious, i.e., lose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Harold Benoit , Liangze Jiang , Andrei Atanov , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Mattia Rigotti , Amir Zamir

The mismatch between training and target data is one major challenge for current machine learning systems. When training data is collected from multiple domains and the target domains include all training domains and other new domains, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Haotian Ye , Chuanlong Xie , Yue Liu , Zhenguo Li

While existing social bot detectors perform well on benchmarks, their robustness across diverse real-world scenarios remains limited due to unclear ground truth and varied misleading cues. In particular, the impact of shortcut learning,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Shiyan Zheng , Herun Wan , Minnan Luo , Junhang Huang

To detect distribution shifts and improve model safety, many out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods rely on the predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained on in-distribution data. In this paper, we critically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Yucen Lily Li , Daohan Lu , Polina Kirichenko , Shikai Qiu , Tim G. J. Rudner , C. Bayan Bruss , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Although pretrained Transformers such as BERT achieve high accuracy on in-distribution examples, do they generalize to new distributions? We systematically measure out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization for seven NLP datasets by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Dan Hendrycks , Xiaoyuan Liu , Eric Wallace , Adam Dziedzic , Rishabh Krishnan , Dawn Song

This paper presents a novel evaluation framework for Out-of-Distribution (OOD) detection that aims to assess the performance of machine learning models in more realistic settings. We observed that the real-world requirements for testing OOD…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-01 Vahid Reza Khazaie , Anthony Wong , Mohammad Sabokrou

Estimating the generalization performance is practically challenging on out-of-distribution (OOD) data without ground-truth labels. While previous methods emphasize the connection between distribution difference and OOD accuracy, we show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Renchunzi Xie , Hongxin Wei , Lei Feng , Yuzhou Cao , Bo An

Recently, generalization on out-of-distribution (OOD) data with correlation shift has attracted great attentions. The correlation shift is caused by the spurious attributes that correlate to the class label, as the correlation between them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Mingyang Yi , Ruoyu Wang , Jiachen Sun , Zhenguo Li , Zhi-Ming Ma

While pretrained language models achieve excellent performance on natural language understanding benchmarks, they tend to rely on spurious correlations and generalize poorly to out-of-distribution (OOD) data. Recent work has explored using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Nitish Joshi , He He

Models trained with empirical risk minimization (ERM) are prone to be biased towards spurious correlations between target labels and bias attributes, which leads to poor performance on data groups lacking spurious correlations. It is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Hyeonggeun Han , Sehwan Kim , Hyungjun Joo , Sangwoo Hong , Jungwoo Lee

Estimating the out-of-distribution performance in regimes where labels are scarce is critical to safely deploy foundation models. Recently, it was shown that ensembles of neural networks observe the phenomena "agreement-on-the-line", which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Rahul Saxena , Taeyoun Kim , Aman Mehra , Christina Baek , Zico Kolter , Aditi Raghunathan

Out-of-Domain (OOD) generalization is the ability of a model trained on one or more domains to generalize to unseen domains. In the ImageNet era of computer vision, evaluation sets for measuring a model's OOD performance were designed to be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Prasanna Mayilvahanan , Roland S. Zimmermann , Thaddäus Wiedemer , Evgenia Rusak , Attila Juhos , Matthias Bethge , Wieland Brendel

Traditional machine learning paradigms are based on the assumption that both training and test data follow the same statistical pattern, which is mathematically referred to as Independent and Identically Distributed ($i.i.d.$). However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyan Shen , Yue He , Xingxuan Zhang , Renzhe Xu , Han Yu , Peng Cui

Constructing a robust model that can effectively generalize to test samples under distribution shifts remains a significant challenge in the field of medical imaging. The foundational models for vision and language, pre-trained on extensive…

Machine learning models, while progressively advanced, rely heavily on the IID assumption, which is often unfulfilled in practice due to inevitable distribution shifts. This renders them susceptible and untrustworthy for deployment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Han Yu , Jiashuo Liu , Xingxuan Zhang , Jiayun Wu , Peng Cui