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We study the problem of estimation and testing in logistic regression with class-conditional noise in the observed labels, which has an important implication in the Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning setting. With the key observation that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-14 Hyebin Song , Ran Dai , Garvesh Raskutti , Rina Foygel Barber

As black-box machine learning models grow in complexity and find applications in high-stakes scenarios, it is imperative to provide explanations for their predictions. Although Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) [22] is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Zeren Tan , Yang Tian , Jian Li

The Dynamical Gaussian Process Latent Variable Models provide an elegant non-parametric framework for learning the low dimensional representations of the high-dimensional time-series. Real world observational studies, however, are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-26 Thanh Le , Vasant Honavar

We present a novel procedure to estimate the Equation of State of the intergalactic medium in the quasi-linear regime of structure formation based on Ly$\alpha$ forest tomography and apply it to 21 high quality quasar spectra from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-07 Hendrik Müller , Christoph Behrens , David James Edward Marsh

Most environmental phenomena, such as wind profiles, ozone concentration and sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation change depending on the location and time of occurrence.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Sahil Garg , Amarjeet Singh , Fabio Ramos

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

We propose estimating Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) that are fair with respect to sensitive nodal attributes. Many real-world models exhibit unfair discriminatory behavior due to biases in data. Such discrimination is known to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-17 Madeline Navarro , Samuel Rey , Andrei Buciulea , Antonio G. Marques , Santiago Segarra

A nonintrusive model order reduction method for bilinear stochastic differential equations with additive noise is proposed. A reduced order model (ROM) is designed in order to approximate the statistical properties of high-dimensional…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-11 M. A. Freitag , J. M. Nicolaus , M. Redmann

A Gaussian quantum theory of bosonic modes has been widely used to describe quantum optical systems, including coherent Ising machines (CIMs) that consist of $\chi^{(2)}$ degenerate optical parametric oscillators (DOPOs) as nonlinear…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-04 Yoshitaka Inui , Edwin Ng , Yoshihisa Yamamoto

An efficient technique is introduced for model inference of complex nonlinear dynamical systems driven by noise. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy , D. G. Luchinsky

While deep-learning models have demonstrated skillful El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) forecasts up to one year in advance, they are predominantly trained on climate model simulations that provide thousands of years of training data at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jakob Schloer , Matthew Newman , Jannik Thuemmel , Antonietta Capotondi , Bedartha Goswami

Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-02 J. M. Pérez-Sánchez , E. Gómez-Déniz

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

This paper introduces the modeling of circular data with excess zeros under a longitudinal framework, where the response is a circular variable and the covariates can be both linear and circular in nature. In the literature, various…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Prajamitra Bhuyan , Soutik Halder , Jayant Jha

This work investigates data-driven prediction and control of Hammerstein-Wiener systems using physics-informed Gaussian process (GP) models that encode the block-oriented model structure. Data-driven prediction algorithms have been…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Mingzhou Yin , Matthias A. Müller

The normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) and generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distributions can be seen as skewed and semi-heavy-tailed extensions of the Gaussian distribution. Models driven by these more flexible noise distributions are then…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Rafael Cabral , David Bolin , Håvard Rue

Uncertainty quantification requires efficient summarization of high- or even infinite-dimensional (i.e., non-parametric) distributions based on, e.g., suitable point estimates (modes) for posterior distributions arising from model-specific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Christian Clason , Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann , Petteri Piiroinen

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) and Single Index Models (SIMs) provide powerful generalizations of linear regression, where the target variable is assumed to be a (possibly unknown) 1-dimensional function of a linear predictor. In general,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-04-14 Sham Kakade , Adam Tauman Kalai , Varun Kanade , Ohad Shamir

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Sahil Garg