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Design-based inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population inference, provides a principled framework for trustworthy statistical inference by attributing randomness solely to the design mechanism (e.g., treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Siyu Heng , Yanxin Shen , Zijian Guo

While machine-learning models are flourishing and transforming many aspects of everyday life, the inability of humans to understand complex models poses difficulties for these models to be fully trusted and embraced. Thus, interpretability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Guangyi Zhang , Aristides Gionis

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

We study the properties of conformal prediction for network data under various sampling mechanisms that commonly arise in practice but often result in a non-representative sample of nodes. We interpret these sampling mechanisms as selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Robert Lunde

The problem of subgroups is ubiquitous in scientific research (ex. disease heterogeneity, spatial distributions in ecology...), and piecewise regression is one way to deal with this phenomenon. Morse-Smale regression offers a way to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-22 Colleen M. Farrelly

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

Nested structure, which is non-random, controls cooperation dynamics and biodiversity in plant-animal mutualistic networks. This structural pattern has been explained in a static (non-growth) network models. However, evolutionary processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 Kazuhiro Takemoto , Masanori Arita

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

With nonignorable missing data, likelihood-based inference should be based on the joint distribution of the study variables and their missingness indicators. These joint models cannot be estimated from the data alone, thus requiring the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

A new model ecosystem consisting of many interacting species is introduced. The species are connected through a random matrix with a given connectivity. It is shown that the system is organized close to a boundary of marginal stability in…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 Ricard V. Sole , David Alonso , Alan McKane

Generative diffusions are a powerful class of Monte Carlo samplers that leverage bridging Markov processes to approximate complex, high-dimensional distributions, such as those found in image processing and language models. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-20 Zheng Zhao , Ziwei Luo , Jens Sjölund , Thomas B. Schön

In ecological studies niche overlap is often used to quantify species interaction and dynamics. This paper develops a robust, nonparametric statistical framework for quantifying and analyzing multivariate niche overlap. Parametric methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jonas Beck , Solomon Harrar

Although exchangeable processes from Bayesian nonparametrics have been used as a generating mechanism for random partition models, we deviate from this paradigm to explicitly incorporate clustering information in the formulation of our…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 David B. Dahl , Richard L. Warr , Thomas P. Jensen

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

In this paper we give a brief review of semiparametric theory, using as a running example the common problem of estimating an average causal effect. Semiparametric models allow at least part of the data-generating process to be unspecified…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Edward H. Kennedy

The availability of large scale streaming network data has reinforced the ubiquity of power-law distributions in observations and enabled precision measurements of the distribution parameters. The increased accuracy of these measurements…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-23 Pat Devlin , Jeremy Kepner , Ashley Luo , Erin Meger

Teaching requires distilling a rich category distribution into a small set of informative exemplars. Although prior work shows that humans consider both representativeness and diversity when teaching, the computational principles underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Fanxiao Wani Qiu , Oscar Leong , Alexander LaTourrette

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

Class-labeled datasets, particularly those common in scientific domains, are rife with internal structure, yet current class-conditional diffusion models ignore these relationships and implicitly diffuse on all classes in a flat fashion. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Alex M. Tseng , Max Shen , Tommaso Biancalani , Gabriele Scalia

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke