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Time-variant reliability analysis is a critical task for ensuring the safety of engineering dynamical systems subjected to stochastic excitations. However, assessing failure probability for realistic systems with Monte-Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Stefano Marelli , Styfen Schär , Bruno Sudret

Real-time supervisory control of thermal energy distribution systems requires digital twins that are accurate, interpretable, and uncertainty-aware, yet remain data and computationally efficient. High-fidelity simulations alone are costly,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Umme Mahbuba Nabila , Paul Seurin , Linyu Lin , Majdi I. Radaideh

Determining the proper level of details to develop and solve physical models is usually difficult when one encounters new engineering problems. Such difficulty comes from how to balance the time (simulation cost) and accuracy for the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Randi Wang , Morad Behandish

With the increase in computational capabilities over the last years it becomes possible to simulate more and more complex and accurate physical models. Gyrokinetic theory has been introduced in the 1960s and 1970s in the need of describing…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2024-02-12 Mario Raeth , Klaus Hallatschek , Katharina Kormann

In computational fluid dynamics, there is an inevitable trade off between accuracy and computational cost. In this work, a novel multi-fidelity deep generative model is introduced for the surrogate modeling of high-fidelity turbulent flow…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-12 Nicholas Geneva , Nicholas Zabaras

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

Gaussian process (GP) surrogate modeling for large computer experiments is limited by cubic runtimes, especially with data from stochastic simulations with input-dependent noise. A popular workaround to reduce computational complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 D Austin Cole , Robert B Gramacy , Mike Ludkovski

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Building design optimization often depends on physics-based simulation tools such as EnergyPlus, which, although accurate, are computationally expensive and slow. Surrogate models provide a faster alternative, yet most are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Piragash Manmatharasan , Girma Bitsuamlak , Katarina Grolinger

In magnetically confined plasmas used in Tokamak, turbulence is responsible for specific transport that limits the performance of this kind of reactors. Gyrokinetic simulations are able to capture ion and electron turbulence that give rise…

Understanding turbulent transport physics in the tokamak edge and scrape-off layer (SOL) is critical to developing a successful fusion reactor. The dynamics in these regions plays a key role in achieving high fusion performance by…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2021-03-31 Noah Mandell

This paper combines results from a local gyrokinetic code with analytical theory to reconstruct the global eigenmode structure of the linearly unstable ion-temperature-gradient (ITG) mode with adiabatic electrons. The simulations presented…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2014-08-05 P. A. Abdoul , D. Dickinson , C. M. Roach , H. R. Wilson

The design of commercially feasible magnetic confinement fusion reactors strongly relies on the reduced turbulent transport in the plasma edge during operation in the high confinement mode (H-mode). We present first global turbulence…

Differential rotation is known to suppress linear instabilities in fusion plasmas. However, even in the absence of growing eigenmodes, subcritical fluctuations that grow transiently can lead to sustained turbulence. Here transient growth of…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2015-08-26 A. A. Schekochihin , E. G. Highcock , S. C. Cowley

Spectral functions encode key many-body information but are costly to compute with high fidelity. Machine-learning surrogates have emerged as a powerful alternative, yet many approaches require large training datasets. We develop a…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-05-08 Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Weiguo Yin , Niraj Aryal

Operator-based neural network architectures such as DeepONets have emerged as a promising tool for the surrogate modeling of physical systems. In general, towards operator surrogate modeling, the training data is generated by solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shivam Choubey , Birupaksha Pal , Manish Agrawal

The increasing use of stochastic models for describing complex phenomena warrants surrogate models that capture the reference model characteristics at a fraction of the computational cost, foregoing potentially expensive Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Neil Kichler , Sher Afghan , Uwe Naumann

This paper outlines an approach towards improved rigour in tokamak turbulence transport model validation within integrated modelling. Gaussian process regression (GPR) techniques were applied for profile fitting during the preparation of…

Nonlinear electromagnetic stabilization by suprathermal pressure gradients found in specific regimes is shown to be a key factor in reducing tokamak microturbulence, augmenting significantly the thermal pressure electromagnetic…

Image-based computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling enables derivation of hemodynamic information, which has become a paradigm in cardiovascular research and healthcare. Nonetheless, the predictive accuracy largely depends on precisely…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-20 Han Gao , Xueyu Zhu , Jian-Xun Wang
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