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Managing uncertainty is a fundamental and critical issue in spacecraft entry guidance. This paper presents a novel approach for uncertainty propagation during entry, descent and landing that relies on a new sum-of-squares robust…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Remy Derollez , Simon Le Cleac'h , Zachary Manchester

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He

Mission designers must study many dynamical models to plan a low-cost spacecraft trajectory that satisfies mission constraints. They routinely use Poincar\'e maps to search for a suitable path through the interconnected web of periodic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-09-09 Xavier M. Tricoche , Wayne R. Schlei , Kathleen C. Howell

The famous three-body problem is investigated by means of a numerical approach with negligible numerical noises in a long enough time interval, namely the Clean Numerical Simulation (CNS). From physical viewpoints, position of any bodies…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-23 Shijun Liao

The three-body problem (3BP) poses a longstanding challenge in physics and celestial mechanics. Despite the impossibility of obtaining general analytical solutions, statistical theories have been developed based on the ergodic principle.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-28 Alessandro Alberto Trani , Nathan W. C. Leigh , Tjarda C. N. Boekholt , Simon Portegies Zwart

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (S3T) provides analytical methods for understanding the emergence and equilibration of jets from the turbulence in planetary atmospheres based on the dynamics of the statistical mean state of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-20 Navid C. Constantinou , Brian F. Farrell , Petros J. Ioannou

A novel trajectory design methodology is proposed in the current work to minimize the state uncertainty in the crucial mission of spacecraft rendezvous. The trajectory is shaped under constraints utilizing a multiple-impulse approach. State…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Amir Shakouri , Maryam Kiani , Seid H. Pourtakdoust

Conjunction assessment requires knowledge of the uncertainty in the predicted orbit. Errors in the atmospheric density are a major source of error in the prediction of low Earth orbits. Therefore, accurate estimation of the density and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-24 David J. Gondelach , Richard Linares

We examine a constrained Markov decision process under uncertain transition probabilities, with the uncertainty modeled as deviations from observed transition probabilities. We construct the uncertainty set associated with the deviations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 V Varagapriya

Dynamical structures in the circular restricted three-body problem (CR3BP) are fundamental for designing low-energy transfers, as they aid in analyzing phase space transport and designing desirable trajectories. One of these dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-14 Naoki Hiraiwa , Mai Bando , Yuzuru Sato , Shinji Hokamoto

This paper presents a machine learning approach to estimate the inertial parameters of a spacecraft in cases when those change during operations, e.g. multiple deployments of payloads, unfolding of appendages and booms, propellant…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-08 Konstantinos Platanitis , Miguel Arana-Catania , Leonardo Capicchiano , Saurabh Upadhyay , Leonard Felicetti

We present a formalism for constructing schematic diagrams to depict chaotic three-body interactions in Newtonian gravity. This is done by decomposing each interaction in to a series of discrete transformations in energy- and angular…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-02-07 Nathan W. C. Leigh , Shalma Wegsman

Recent advances in the fields of robotics and automation have spurred significant interest in robust state estimation. To enable robust state estimation, several methodologies have been proposed. One such technique, which has shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

This work considers the optimal covariance steering problem for systems subject to both additive noise and uncertain parameters which may enter multiplicatively with the state and the control. The unknown parameters are modeled as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-21 Jacob Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Non-intrusive methods have been used since two decades to derive reduced-order models for geometrically nonlinear structures, with a particular emphasis on the so-called STiffness Evaluation Procedure (STEP), relying on the static…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Alessandra Vizzaccaro , Arthur Givois , Pierluigi Longobardi , Yichang Shen , Jean-François Deü , Loïc Salles , Cyril Touzé , Olivier Thomas

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Chance-constrained motion planning requires uncertainty in dynamics to be propagated into uncertainty in state. When nonlinear models are used, Gaussian assumptions on the state distribution do not necessarily apply since almost all random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

Modelling the evolution of a system using stochastic dynamics typically implies a greater subjective uncertainty in the adopted system coordinates as time progresses, and stochastic entropy production has been developed as a measure of this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-06 Jonathan Dexter , Ian J. Ford

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros