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In this work, we study how to ensure probabilistic safety for nonlinear systems under distributional ambiguity. Our approach builds on a backup-based safety filtering framework that switches between a high-performance nominal policy and a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Daniel M. Cherenson , Haejoon Lee , Taekyung Kim , Dimitra Panagou

In this paper, we introduce a robust market making framework based on Wasserstein distance, utilizing a stochastic policy approach enhanced by entropy regularization. We demonstrate that, under mild assumptions, the robust market making…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Zhou Fang , Arie Israel

Construction of ambiguity set in robust optimization relies on the choice of divergences between probability distributions. In distribution learning, choosing appropriate probability distributions based on observed data is critical for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-24 Xin Guo , Johnny Hong , Nan Yang

This study addresses a class of linear mixed-integer programming (MILP) problems that involve uncertainty in the objective function parameters. The parameters are assumed to form a random vector, whose probability distribution can only be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Sergey S. Ketkov

We propose a distributionally robust approach to learning hyperparameters for first-order methods in convex optimization. Given a dataset of problem instances, we minimize a Wasserstein distributionally robust version of the performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Vinit Ranjan , Jisun Park , Bartolomeo Stellato

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

We study distributionally robust online learning, where a risk-averse learner updates decisions sequentially to guard against worst-case distributions drawn from a Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at past observations. While this paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Guixian Chen , Salar Fattahi , Soroosh Shafiee

We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

This paper presents a novel approach to addressing the distributionally robust nonlinear model predictive control (DRNMPC) problem. Current literature primarily focuses on the static Wasserstein distributionally robust optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Zhengang Zhong , Jia-Jie Zhu

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (DRC) recently emerges as a principled paradigm for handling uncertainty in stochastic dynamical systems. However, it constructs data-driven ambiguity sets via uniform distribution shifts before…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jingyi Wu , Chao Ning , Yang Shi

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are known to be sensitive to parameter specification. Distributionally robust MDPs alleviate this issue by allowing for \emph{ambiguity sets} which give a set of possible distributions over parameter sets.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Julien Grand-Clément , Christian Kroer

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

We study optimization problems whereby the optimization variable is a probability measure. Since the probability space is not a vector space, many classical and powerful methods for optimization (e.g., gradients) are of little help. Thus,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Nicolas Lanzetti , Antonio Terpin , Florian Dörfler

In this paper we discuss distributional robustness in the context of stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems. We derive a simple approximation of the MPC problem under an additive zero-mean i.i.d. noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper expands the notion of robust moment problems to incorporate distributional ambiguity using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. The classical Chebyshev-Cantelli (zeroth partial moment) inequalities, Scarf and Lo (first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

We investigate an expected utility maximization problem under model uncertainty in a one-period financial market. We capture model uncertainty by replacing the baseline model $\mathbb{P}$ with an adverse choice from a Wasserstein ball of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Laurence Carassus , Johannes Wiesel

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

The Wasserstein distance, rooted in optimal transport (OT) theory, is a popular discrepancy measure between probability distributions with various applications to statistics and machine learning. Despite their rich structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Sloan Nietert , Rachel Cummings , Ziv Goldfeld

This paper presents a novel Wasserstein distributionally robust control and state estimation algorithm for partially observable linear stochastic systems, where the probability distributions of disturbances and measurement noises are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-05 Minhyuk Jang , Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We propose a distributionally robust data-driven predictive control framework for stochastic linear time-invariant systems with unknown dynamics and disturbance distributions. We use an offline trajectory to fit the subspace predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Mirhan Urkmez , Shahab Heshmati-Alamdari
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