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We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

Multi-fidelity surrogate learning is important for physical simulation related applications in that it avoids running numerical solvers from scratch, which is known to be costly, and it uses multi-fidelity examples for training and greatly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Zheng Wang , Shibo Li , Shikai Fang , Shandian Zhe

With the growing computational power available for high-resolution ensemble simulations in scientific fields such as cosmology and oceanology, storage and computational demands present significant challenges. Current surrogate models fall…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Yi-Tang Chen , Haoyu Li , Neng Shi , Xihaier Luo , Wei Xu , Han-Wei Shen

Functional regression is very crucial in functional data analysis and a linear relationship between scalar response and functional predictor is often assumed. However, the linear assumption may not hold in practice, which makes the methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-18 Rou Zhong , Dongxue Wang , Jingxiao Zhang

Identifying the optimal diagnostic test and hardware system instance to infer reliability characteristics using field data is challenging, especially when constrained by fixed budgets and minimal maintenance cycles. Active Learning (AL) has…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-25 Michael Potter , Beyza Kalkanlı , Deniz Erdoğmuş , Michael Everett

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful probabilistic models that define flexible priors over functions, offering strong interpretability and uncertainty quantification. However, GP models often rely on simple, stationary kernels which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Nima Negarandeh , Carlos Mora , Ramin Bostanabad

Anomalous behavior is ubiquitous in subsurface solute transport due to the presence of high degrees of heterogeneity at different scales in the media. Although fractional models have been extensively used to describe the anomalous transport…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Xiao Xu , Marta D'Elia , Christian Glusa , John T. Foster

This paper introduces a comprehensive open-source framework for developing correlation kernels, with a particular focus on user-defined and composition of kernels for surrogate modeling. By advancing kernel-based modeling techniques, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Nicolas Gonel , Paul Saves , Joseph Morlier

In machine learning, a critical class of decision-related problems concerns preventing predicted undesirable outcomes, referred to as the \textit{avoiding undesired future} (AUF) problem. To address this, the \textit{rehearsal learning}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Wen-Bo Du , Tian-Zuo Wang , Han-Jia Ye , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Data subsampling has become widely recognized as a tool to overcome computational and economic bottlenecks in analyzing massive datasets. We contribute to the development of adaptive design for estimation of finite population…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Henrik Imberg , Xiaomi Yang , Carol Flannagan , Jonas Bärgman

We propose an active-learning method for nonlinear minimax regression. Given a nonlinear function that can be arbitrarily evaluated over a compact set, we fit a surrogate model, such as a feedforward neural network, by minimizing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Alberto Bemporad

Credible microscopic traffic simulation requires car-following models that capture both the average response and the substantial variability observed across drivers and situations. However, most data-driven calibrations remain…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-06 Menglin Kong , Chengyuan Zhang , Lijun Sun

As the size and richness of available datasets grow larger, the opportunities for solving increasingly challenging problems with algorithms learning directly from data grow at the same pace. Consequently, the capability of learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Raffaello Camoriano

In this paper, we propose a novel sequential data-driven method for dealing with equilibrium based chemical simulations, which can be seen as a specific machine learning approach called active learning. The underlying idea of our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-26 Mary Savino , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Marc Leconte , Benoit Cochepin

Active learning is a unique abstraction of machine learning techniques where the model/algorithm could guide users for annotation of a set of data points that would be beneficial to the model, unlike passive machine learning. The primary…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Vishwesh Nath , Dong Yang , Bennett A. Landman , Daguang Xu , Holger R. Roth

Rapidly determining structure-property correlations in materials is an important challenge in better understanding fundamental mechanisms and greatly assists in materials design. In microscopy, imaging data provides a direct measurement of…

Computational modeling of the structural behavior of continuous fiber composite materials often takes into account the periodicity of the underlying micro-structure. A well established method dealing with the structural behavior of periodic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Charilaos Mylonas , Valentin Bemetz , Eleni Chatzi

In supervised learning, the output variable to be predicted is often represented as a function, such as a spectrum or probability distribution. Despite its importance, functional output regression remains relatively unexplored. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Minoru Kusaba , Megumi Iwayama , Ryo Yoshida