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Pseudo-measurements are the dominant source of uncertainty in distribution system state estimation (DSSE), yet their distributional assumptions are treated as fixed inputs by existing uncertainty quantification methods. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Betül Mamudi , Jochen Stiasny , Jochen Cremer

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

In longitudinal panels and other regression models with unobserved effects, fixed effects estimation is often paired with cluster-robust variance estimation (CRVE) in order to account for heteroskedasticity and un-modeled dependence among…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 James E. Pustejovsky , Elizabeth Tipton

Several new estimation methods have been recently proposed for the linear regression model with observation error in the design. Different assumptions on the data generating process have motivated different estimators and analysis. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Alexandre Belloni , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

Linear transformation model provides a general framework for analyzing censored survival data with covariates. The proportional hazards and proportional odds models are special cases of the linear transformation model. In biomedical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Sudheesh K. K. , Deemat C. Mathew , Litty Mathew , Min Xie

We introduce an estimation method for the scaled skewness coefficient of the sample mean of short and long memory linear processes. This method can be extended to estimate higher moments such as curtosis coefficient of the sample mean. Also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Masoud M Nasari , Mohamedou Ould-Haye

Item response theory (IRT) models have been widely used in educational measurement testing. When there are repeated observations available for individuals through time, a dynamic structure for the latent trait of ability needs to be…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-17 Xiaojing Wang , James O. Berger , Donald S. Burdick

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Since Rendle and Krichene argued that commonly used sampling-based evaluation metrics are "inconsistent" with respect to the global metrics (even in expectation), there have been a few studies on the sampling-based recommender system…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Dong Li , Ruoming Jin , Zhenming Liu , Bin Ren , Jing Gao , Zhi Liu

Inter-rater reliability (IRR), which is a prerequisite of high-quality ratings and assessments, may be affected by contextual variables such as the rater's or ratee's gender, major, or experience. Identification of such heterogeneity…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-17 Patrícia Martinková , František Bartoš , Marek Brabec

In this paper, we propose a computationally simple estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the Principal Components (PC) factors valid in the presence of cross-correlated idiosyncratic components. The proposed estimator of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-10 Diego Fresoli , Pilar Poncela , Esther Ruiz

Simultaneous statistical inference has been a cornerstone in the statistics methodology literature because of its fundamental theory and paramount applications. The mainstream multiple testing literature has traditionally considered two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Monitirtha Dey , Subir Kumar Bhandari

State estimation (SE) of distribution networks heavily relies on pseudo measurements that introduce significant errors, since real-time measurements are insufficient. Interval SE models are regularly used, where true values of system states…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 VietCuong Ngo , Wenchuan Wu

Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) has proven effective for efficient LLM evaluation on multiple-choice benchmarks, but modern LLM evaluation increasingly relies on generation tasks where outputs are scored continuously rather than marked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Esma Balkır , Alice Pernthaller , Marco Basaldella , José Hernández-Orallo , Nigel Collier

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

Confidence estimation (CE) indicates how reliable the answers of large language models are and impacts user trust and decision-making. Existing evaluations mainly concern the alignment between confidence and correctness, but ignore the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yuxi Xia , Dennis Ulmer , Terra Blevins , Yihong Liu , Hinrich Schütze , Benjamin Roth

Consumer research costs companies billions annually yet suffers from panel biases and limited scale. Large language models (LLMs) offer an alternative by simulating synthetic consumers, but produce unrealistic response distributions when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Benjamin F. Maier , Ulf Aslak , Luca Fiaschi , Nina Rismal , Kemble Fletcher , Christian C. Luhmann , Robbie Dow , Kli Pappas , Thomas V. Wiecki

Code generation models are widely used in software development, yet their sensitivity to prompt phrasing remains under-examined. Identical requirements expressed with different emotions or communication styles can yield divergent outputs,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Wei Ma , Yixiao Yang , Jingquan Ge , Xiaofei Xie , Lingxiao Jiang

Objectives: Estimation of areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and their differences is a key task in diagnostic studies. We aimed to derive, evaluate, and implement simple sample size formulas for such studies with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Di Shu , Guangyong Zou

We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens