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Betting games provide a natural setting to capture how information yields strategic advantage. The Kelly criterion for betting, long a cornerstone of portfolio theory and information theory, admits an interpretation in the limit of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-15 Maite Arcos , Renato Renner , Jonathan Oppenheim

Large-scale online recommendation systems must facilitate the allocation of a limited number of items among competing users while learning their preferences from user feedback. As a principled way of incorporating market constraints and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Yigit Efe Erginbas , Soham Phade , Kannan Ramchandran

Robust Optimization has traditionally taken a pessimistic, or worst-case viewpoint of uncertainty which is motivated by a desire to find sets of optimal policies that maintain feasibility under a variety of operating conditions. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Matthew Norton , Akiko Takeda , Alexander Mafusalov

A monopolistic seller aims to sell an indivisible item to multiple potential buyers. Each buyer's valuation depends on their private type and the item's quality. The seller can observe the quality but it is unknown to buyers. This quality…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Zhikang Fan , Weiran Shen

This paper investigates optimal consumption in the stochastic Ramsey problem with the Cobb-Douglas production function. Contrary to prior studies, we allow for general consumption processes, without any a priori boundedness constraint. A…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Saeed Khalili

This paper explores the gain maximization problem of two nations engaging in non-cooperative bilateral trade. Probabilistic model of an exchange of commodities under different price systems is considered. Volume of commodities exchanged…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-09 Tsotne Kutalia , Revaz Tevzadze

In the early $20^{th}$ century, Pigou observed that imposing a marginal cost tax on the usage of a public good induces a socially efficient level of use as an equilibrium. Unfortunately, such a "Pigouvian" tax may also induce other,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-09-29 Moshe Babaioff , Ruty Mundel , Noam Nisan

Most work in mechanism design assumes that buyers are risk neutral; some considers risk aversion arising due to a non-linear utility for money. Yet behavioral studies have established that real agents exhibit risk attitudes which cannot be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Shuchi Chawla , Kira Goldner , J. Benjamin Miller , Emmanouil Pountourakis

Suppliers of differentiated goods make simultaneous pricing decisions, which are strategically linked. Because of market power, the equilibrium is inefficient. We study how a policymaker should target a budget-balanced tax-and-subsidy…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-29 Andrea Galeotti , Benjamin Golub , Sanjeev Goyal , Eduard Talamàs , Omer Tamuz

We study a version of the classical Cayley-Moser optimal stopping problem, in which a seller must sell an asset by a given deadline, with the offers, which are independent random variables with a known distribution, arriving at random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Guy Katriel

We establish explicit socially optimal rules for an irreversible investment deci- sion with time-to-build and uncertainty. Assuming a price sensitive demand function with a random intercept, we provide comparative statics and economic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 René Aid , Salvatore Federico , Huyên Pham , Bertrand Villeneuve

This paper studies an $\alpha$-robust utility maximization problem where an investor faces an intractable claim -- an exogenous contingent claim with known marginal distribution but unspecified dependence structure with financial market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Xinyu Chen , Zuo Quan Xu

Energy system optimization models (ESOMs) are designed to examine the potential effects of a proposed policy, but often represent energy-efficient technologies and policies in an overly simplified way. Most ESOMs include different end-use…

In this paper, we assume an insure is allowed to purchase proportional reinsurance and can invest his or her wealth into the financial market where a savings account, stocks and bonds are available. Different from classical optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-01 Xiaoxiao Zheng , Xin Zhang

Given a dataset we quantify how many patterns must always exist in the dataset. Formally this is done through the lens of Ramsey theory of graphs, and a quantitative bound known as Goodman's theorem. Combining statistical tools with Ramsey…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Micheal Pawliuk , Michael Alexander Waddell

One of the standardized features of financial data is that log-returns are uncorrelated, but absolute log-returns or their squares namely the fluctuating volatility are correlated and is characterized by heavy tailed in the sense that some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Geoffrey Ducournau

We present a new approach to the problems of evaluating and learning personalized decision policies from observational data of past contexts, decisions, and outcomes. Only the outcome of the enacted decision is available and the historical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

In various markets where sellers compete in price, price oscillations are observed rather than convergence to equilibrium. Such fluctuations have been empirically observed in the retail market for gasoline, in airline pricing and in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-28 Moshe Babaioff , Renato Paes Leme , Balasubramanian Sivan

A seller sells an object over time but is uncertain how the buyer learns their willingness-to-pay. We consider informational robustness under \textit{limited commitment}, where the seller offers a price \textit{each period} to maximize…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-10 Zihao Li , Jonathan Libgober , Xiaosheng Mu

Algorithmic efficiency is essential to reducing energy and time usage for computational problems. Optimizing efficiency is important for tasks involving multiple resources, for example in stochastic calculations where the size of the random…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-07-09 Run Yan Teh , Manushan Thenabadu , Peter D Drummond