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We show the equivalence of three properties for an infinitely divisible distribution: the subexponentiality of the density, the subexponentiality of the density of its L\'evy measure and the tail equivalence between the density and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Muneya Matsui

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution whose multivariate nature has so far been ignored in the MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

We propose data thinning, an approach for splitting an observation into two or more independent parts that sum to the original observation, and that follow the same distribution as the original observation, up to a (known) scaling of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Anna Neufeld , Ameer Dharamshi , Lucy L. Gao , Daniela Witten

This work focuses on multivalued stochastic differential equations with jumps. First, by employing the weak convergence approach, we establish the Freidlin-Wentzell uniform large deviation principle and the Dembo-Zeitouni uniform large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Huijie Qiao

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

We provide a systematic approach to deal with the following problem. Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be, possibly dependent, $[0,1]$-valued random variables. What is a sharp upper bound on the probability that their sum is significantly larger than…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Christos Pelekis , Jan Ramon

A random variable is equi-dispersed if its mean equals its variance. A Poisson distribution is a classical example of this phenomenon. However, a less well-known fact is that the class of normal densities that are equi-dispersed constitutes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Barry C. Arnold , B. G. Manjunath

We study a new class of so-called rational-infinitely (or quasi-infinitely) divisible probability laws on the real line. The characteristic functions of these distributions are ratios of the characteristic functions of classical infinitely…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Alexey Khartov

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

For an m-dimensional multivariate extreme value distribution there exist 2^{m}-1 exponent measures which are linked and completely characterise the dependence of the distribution and all of its lower dimensional margins. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

We show that, under mild assumptions, the spectrum of a sum of independent random matrices is close to that of the Gaussian random matrix whose entries have the same mean and covariance. This nonasymptotic universality principle yields…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Tatiana Brailovskaya , Ramon van Handel

Constant-specified and exponential concentration inequalities play an essential role in the finite-sample theory of machine learning and high-dimensional statistics area. We obtain sharper and constants-specified concentration inequalities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

Beck et al. (2013) introduced a new distribution class J which contains many heavy-tailed and light-tailed distributions obeying the principle of a single big jump. Using a simple transformation which maps heavy-tailed distributions to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-07 Hui Xu , Michael Scheutzow , Yuebao Wang

The classical multivariate extreme value theory tries to capture the extremal dependence between the components under a multivariate domain of attraction condition and it requires each of the components to be in the domain of attraction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-13 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Krishanu Maulik

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We study the full distribution $P_{N}\left(A\right)$ of sums $A = \sum_{i=1}^N$ where $x_1, \dots, x_N$ are $N \gg 1$ independent and identically distributed random variables each sampled from a given distribution $p(x)$ with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 Naftali R. Smith

Let $X_1,\,X_2,\,\ldots,\,X_N$, $N\in\mathbb{N}$ be independent but not necessarily identically distributed discrete and integer-valued random variables. Assume that $X_1\geqslant m_1$, $X_2\geqslant m_2$, $\ldots$, $X_N\geqslant m_N$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Andrius Grigutis , Artur Nakliuda

We revisit a classical continuum model for the diffusion of multiple species with size-exclusion constraint, which leads to a degenerate nonlinear cross-diffusion system. The purpose of this article is twofold: first, it aims at a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Katharina Hopf , Martin Burger

Existing results for the estimation of the L\'evy measure are mostly limited to the onedimensional setting. We apply the spectral method to multidimensional L\'evy processes in order to construct a nonparametric estimator for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Maximilian F. Steffen
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