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Statistical estimates from survey samples have traditionally been obtained via design-based estimators. In many cases, these estimators tend to work well for quantities such as population totals or means, but can fall short as sample sizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-15 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

In the framework of scalar-on-function regression models, in which several functional variables are employed to predict a scalar response, we propose a methodology for selecting relevant functional predictors while simultaneously providing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Hedayat Fathi , Marzia A. Cremona , Federico Severino

Time-varying covariates are often available in survival studies and estimation of the hazard function needs to be updated as new information becomes available. In this paper, we investigate several different easy-to-implement ways that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Hoora Moradian , Weichi Yao , Denis Larocque , Jeffrey S. Simonoff , Halina Frydman

Functional data analysis has been extensively conducted. In this study, we consider a partially functional model, under which some covariates are scalars and have linear effects, while some other variables are functional and have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Weijuan Liang , Qingzhao Zhang , Shuangge Ma

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly applied across macroscales. Such models typically assume that a single set of regression coefficients can adequately describe species-environment relationships and/or population trends.…

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

This paper studies an optimization-based state estimation approach for discrete-time nonlinear systems under bounded process and measurement disturbances. We first introduce a full information estimator (FIE), which is given as a solution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wuhua Hu , Lihua Xie , Keyou You

Conditional Autoencoders (CAEs) offer a flexible, interpretable approach for estimating latent asset-pricing factors from firm characteristics. However, existing studies usually limit the latent factor dimension to around K=5 due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Ryan Engel , Yu Chen , Pawel Polak , Ioana Boier

We introduce a general hierarchical Bayesian framework that incorporates a flexible nonparametric data model specification through the use of empirical likelihood methodology, which we term semiparametric hierarchical empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-16 Aaron T. Porter , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Fractional imputation (FI) is a relatively new method of imputation for handling item nonresponse in survey sampling. In FI, several imputed values with their fractional weights are created for each missing item. Each fractional weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

Using sample surveys as a cost effective tool to provide estimates for characteristics of interest at population and sub-populations (area/domain) level has a long tradition in "small area estimation". However, the existence of outliers in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Setareh Ranjbar , Elvezio Ronchetti , Stefan Sperlich

We present sparse tree-based and list-based density estimation methods for binary/categorical data. Our density estimation models are higher dimensional analogies to variable bin width histograms. In each leaf of the tree (or list), the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-16 Siong Thye Goh , Lesia Semenova , Cynthia Rudin

Subspace identification methods (SIMs) have proven to be very useful and numerically robust for building state-space models. While most SIMs are consistent, few if any can achieve the efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE).…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Jiabao He , S. Joe Qin , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Subspace identification method (SIM) has been proven to be very useful and numerically robust for estimating state-space models. However, it is in general not believed to be as accurate as the prediction error method (PEM). Conversely, PEM,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-04 Jiabao He , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Stefan Wager

The challenge of optimal design of experiments (DOE) pervades materials science, physics, chemistry, and biology. Bayesian optimization has been used to address this challenge in vast sample spaces, although it requires framing experimental…

This study presents a coupled physical statistical framework for retrieving snow water equivalent (SWE) in forested areas using dual frequency X and Ku band SAR observations. The method combines a multilayer snow hydrology model (MSHM) with…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-25 Siddharth Singh , Carrie Vuyovich , Ana P. Barros

In spatial statistics, it is often assumed that the spatial field of interest is stationary and its covariance has a simple parametric form, but these assumptions are not appropriate in many applications. Given replicate observations of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-14 Brian Kidd , Matthias Katzfuss

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu