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In this document, some general results in approximation theory and matrix analysis with applications to sparse identification of time series models and nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems are presented. The aforementioned theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-04 Fredy Vides

Stochastic differential equations are an important modeling class in many disciplines. Consequently, there exist many methods relying on various discretization and numerical integration schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Gabriele Abbati , Philippe Wenk , Michael A Osborne , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

In this paper we develop a perturbation method to predict the rate of occurrence of rare events for singularly perturbed stochastic systems using a probability density function approach. In contrast to a stochastic normal form approach, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Christoffer R. Heckman , Ira B. Schwartz

This article introduces and analyzes a new explicit, easily implementable, and full discrete accelerated exponential Euler-type approximation scheme for additive space-time white noise driven stochastic partial differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Martin Hutzenthaler , Arnulf Jentzen , Diyora Salimova

An explicit numerical method is developed for a class of non-autonomous time-changed stochastic differential equations, whose coefficients obey H\"older's continuity in terms of the time variables and are allowed to grow super-linearly in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Xiaotong Li , Wei Liu , Tianjiao Tang

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

This paper presents and analyzes the compensated projected Euler-Maruyama method for stochastic differential equations with jumps under a global monotonicity condition. Compared with existing conditions, this condition allows the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Min Li , Chengming Huang

This article proposes and analyzes explicit and easily implementable temporal numerical approximation schemes for additive noise-driven stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with polynomial nonlinearities such as, e.g.,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Sebastian Becker , Arnulf Jentzen

We introduce and compare computational techniques for sharp extreme event probability estimates in stochastic differential equations with small additive Gaussian noise. In particular, we focus on strategies that are scalable, i.e. their…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-27 Timo Schorlepp , Shanyin Tong , Tobias Grafke , Georg Stadler

In the present paper we consider the problem of Laplace deconvolution with noisy discrete non-equally spaced observations on a finite time interval. We propose a new method for Laplace deconvolution which is based on expansions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Fabienne Comte , Charles-A. Cuenod , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

An existence and uniqueness theorem for a class of stochastic delay differential equations is presented, and the convergence of Euler approximations for these equations is proved under general conditions. Moreover, the rate of almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-17 Istvan Gyöngy , Sotirios Sabanis

The strong convergence of Euler approximations of stochastic delay differential equations is proved under general conditions. The assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients have been relaxed to include polynomial growth and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Chaman Kumar , Sotirios Sabanis

Posterior inference for Dirichlet process mixture models is analytically intractable and typically relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can become computationally prohibitive at moderate to large sample sizes. In this work, we…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-29 Beatrice Franzolini , Francesco Pozza

In this article, we consider a stochastic PDE of parabolic type, driven by a space-time white-noise, and its numerical discretization in time with a semi-implicit Euler scheme. When the nonlinearity is assumed to be bounded, then a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-02-14 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

In this paper we study the strong convergence for the Euler-Maruyama approximation of a class of stochastic differential equations whose both drift and diffusion coefficients are possibly discontinuous.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Hoang-Long Ngo , Dai Taguchi

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We consider the problem of approximate Bayesian parameter inference in non-linear state-space models with intractable likelihoods. Sequential Monte Carlo with approximate Bayesian computations (SMC-ABC) is one approach to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-14 Johan Dahlin , Mattias Villani , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez
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