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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for deploying deep neural networks in safety-critical settings. Although methods like Deep Ensembles achieve strong UQ performance, their high computational and memory costs hinder scalability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Firas Gabetni , Giuseppe Curci , Andrea Pilzer , Subhankar Roy , Elisa Ricci , Gianni Franchi

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

Inverse problems are ubiquitous in modern scientific studies and involve recovering an underlying signal from noisy observations often transformed by a measurement operator. These problems are frequently ill-posed, particularly in imaging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Henry J. Aldridge , Tobías I. Liaudat , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

There are essentially three kinds of approaches to Uncertainty Quantification (UQ): (A) robust optimization, (B) Bayesian, (C) decision theory. Although (A) is robust, it is unfavorable with respect to accuracy and data assimilation. (B)…

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

This study investigates uncertainty quantification (UQ) using quantum-classical hybrid machine learning (ML) models for applications in complex and dynamic fields, such as attaining resiliency in supply chain digital twins and financial…

Recent advances in generative video models have led to significant breakthroughs in high-fidelity video synthesis, specifically in controllable video generation where the generated video is conditioned on text and action inputs, e.g., in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Zhiting Mei , Tenny Yin , Micah Baker , Ola Shorinwa , Anirudha Majumdar

We introduce a novel approach for calibrating uncertainty quantification (UQ) tailored for multi-modal large language models (LLMs). Existing state-of-the-art UQ methods rely on consistency among multiple responses generated by the LLM on…

Bayesian neural networks and deep ensemble methods have been proposed for uncertainty quantification; however, they are computationally intensive and require large storage. By utilizing a single deterministic model, we can solve the above…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Yaxin Ma , Benjamin Colburn , Jose C. Principe

2D-based Industrial Anomaly Detection has been widely discussed, however, multimodal industrial anomaly detection based on 3D point clouds and RGB images still has many untouched fields. Existing multimodal industrial anomaly detection…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Yue Wang , Jinlong Peng , Jiangning Zhang , Ran Yi , Yabiao Wang , Chengjie Wang

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

In principle, deep learning models trained on medical time-series, including wearable photoplethysmography (PPG) sensor data, can provide a means to continuously monitor physiological parameters outside of clinical settings. However, there…

AI Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has the potential to improve human decision-making beyond AI predictions alone by providing additional probabilistic information to users. The majority of past research on AI and human decision-making has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Laura R. Marusich , Jonathan Z. Bakdash , Yan Zhou , Murat Kantarcioglu

We introduce an unsupervised formulation to estimate heteroscedastic uncertainty in retrieval systems. We propose an extension to triplet loss that models data uncertainty for each input. Besides improving performance, our formulation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Ahmed Taha , Yi-Ting Chen , Teruhisa Misu , Abhinav Shrivastava , Larry Davis

Neural operators (NOs) provide fast, resolution-invariant surrogates for mapping input fields to PDE solution fields, but their predictions can exhibit significant epistemic uncertainty due to finite data, imperfect optimization, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haoze Song , Zhihao Li , Mengyi Deng , Xin Li , Duyi Pan , Zhilu Lai , Wei Wang

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly assisting users in the real world, yet their reliability remains a concern. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has been heralded as a tool to enhance human-LLM collaboration by enabling users to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Siddartha Devic , Tejas Srinivasan , Jesse Thomason , Willie Neiswanger , Vatsal Sharan

The estimation of 6D object poses is a fundamental task in many computer vision applications. Particularly, in high risk scenarios such as human-robot interaction, industrial inspection, and automation, reliable pose estimates are crucial.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Kira Wursthorn , Markus Hillemann , Markus Ulrich

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides a resource-efficient solution for on-device monitoring of tinyML models deployed without access to true labels. However, existing UQ methods impose significant memory and compute demands, making them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nikhil P Ghanathe , Steven J E Wilton

An important paradigm in 3D object detection is the use of multiple modalities to enhance accuracy in both normal and challenging conditions, particularly for long-tail scenarios. To address this, recent studies have explored two directions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Minkyoung Cho , Yulong Cao , Jiachen Sun , Qingzhao Zhang , Marco Pavone , Jeong Joon Park , Heng Yang , Z. Morley Mao

LiDAR and camera fusion techniques are promising for achieving 3D object detection in autonomous driving. Most multi-modal 3D object detection frameworks integrate semantic knowledge from 2D images into 3D LiDAR point clouds to enhance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Shaoqing Xu , Fang Li , Ziying Song , Jin Fang , Sifen Wang , Zhi-Xin Yang