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Weather forecasting is essential for various human activities. Recent data-driven models have outperformed numerical weather prediction by utilizing deep learning in forecasting performance. However, challenges remain in efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Outdoor thermal comfort is a critical determinant of urban livability, particularly in hot desert climates where extreme heat poses challenges to public health, energy consumption, and urban planning. Mean Radiant Temperature ($T_{mrt}$) is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Pouya Shaeri , Saud AlKhaled , Ariane Middel

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is critical for disaster warning and emergency response. Deep learning methods address computational challenges but often neglect physical relationships between TC attributes, resulting in predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Lei Liu , Xiaoning Yu , Kang Chen , Jiahui Huang , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Bin Li

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Climate models are essential to understand and project climate change, yet long-standing biases and uncertainties in their projections remain. This is largely associated with the representation of subgrid-scale processes, particularly…

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

As in many other areas of engineering and applied science, Machine Learning (ML) is having a profound impact in the domain of Weather and Climate Prediction. A very recent development in this area has been the emergence of fully data-driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Massimo Bonavita

There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), for example using convolutional neural networks such as U-NETs that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose 3 components to integrate with commonly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Mustafa Mustafa , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Eviatar Bach , Karthik Kashinath

Multivariate time series imputation is fundamental in applications such as healthcare, traffic forecasting, and biological modeling, where sensor failures and irregular sampling lead to pervasive missing values. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Runze Li , Hanchen Wang , Wenjie Zhang , Binghao Li , Yu Zhang , Xuemin Lin , Ying Zhang

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

Improving the skill of medium-range (3-8 day) severe weather prediction is crucial for mitigating societal impacts. This study introduces a novel approach leveraging decoder-only transformer networks to post-process AI-based weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 Zhanxiang Hua , Ryan Sobash , David John Gagne , Yingkai Sha , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Most state-of-the-art approaches for weather and climate modeling are based on physics-informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non-linear dynamics and complex interactions between multiple variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tung Nguyen , Johannes Brandstetter , Ashish Kapoor , Jayesh K. Gupta , Aditya Grover

FourCastNet, short for Fourier Forecasting Neural Network, is a global data-driven weather forecasting model that provides accurate short to medium-range global predictions at $0.25^{\circ}$ resolution. FourCastNet accurately forecasts…

Spatiotemporal prediction is important in solving natural problems and processing video frames, especially in weather forecasting and human action recognition. Recent advances attempt to incorporate prior physical knowledge into the deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Xuanle Zhao , Yue Sun , Ziyi Wang , Bo Xu , Tielin Zhang

Weather forecasting is a crucial yet highly challenging task. With the maturity of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the emergence of data-driven weather forecasting models has opened up a new paradigm for the development of weather forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-21 Yi Xiao , Lei Bai , Wei Xue , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang

Diffusion models provide expressive priors for forecasting trajectories of dynamical systems, but are typically unreliable in the sparse data regime. Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) improves reliability in such settings; however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Kaiyuan Tan , Kendra Givens , Peilun Li , Thomas Beckers

The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Tao Han , Zhibin Wen , Zhenghao Chen , Dazhao Du , Song Guo , Lei Bai

Triggered by the realization that AI emulators can rival the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction models running on HPC systems, there is now an increasing number of large AI models that address use cases such as…

Fine-grained fire prediction plays a crucial role in emergency response. Infrared images and fire masks provide complementary thermal and boundary information, yet current methods are predominantly limited to binary mask modeling with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Nan Zhou , Huandong Wang , Jiahao Li , Yang Li , Xiao-Ping Zhang , Yong Li , Xinlei Chen

Accurate quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) remains one of the main challenges in numerical weather prediction (NWP), primarily due to the difficulty of representing the full complexity of atmospheric microphysics through…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-05 ChangJae Lee , Heecheol Yang , Byeonggwon Kim