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Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity - particularly during periods of rapid intensification and rapid weakening - remains a challenge for operational meteorology, with high-stakes implications for disaster preparedness…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Hongyu Qu , Hongxiong Xu , Lin Dong , Chunyi Xiang , Gaozhen Nie

While most spatial data can be modeled with the assumption that distant points are uncorrelated, some problems require dependence at both far and short distances. We introduce a model to directly incorporate dependence in phenomena that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Joshua Hewitt , Jennifer A. Hoeting , James Done , Erin Towler

Studying the response of a climate system to perturbations has practical significance. Standard methods in computing the trajectory-wise deviation caused by perturbations may suffer from the chaotic nature that makes the model error…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

Dominant modes of SST in the west and east Pacific show strong but regionally different gradients caused by waves, internal dynamics, and anthropogenic warming, which drives air-sea interaction in the Pacific. The study discusses the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lekshmi S , Rajib Chattopadhyay , D. S. Pai , M. Rajeevan , Vinu Valsala , K. S. Hosalikar , M. Mohapatra

Deep Learning models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in medium-range weather prediction but often fail to maintain physically consistent rollouts beyond 14 days. In contrast, a few atmospheric models demonstrate stability over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Florian Gallusser , Simon Hentschel , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

The scientific process of earthquake forecasting involves estimating the probability and intensity of earthquakes in a specific area within a certain timeframe, based on seismic activity laws and observational data. Epidemic-Type Aftershock…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Haoyuan Zhang , Shuya Ke , Wenqi Liu , Yongwen Zhang

The remarkable flexibility and adaptability of both deep learning models and ensemble methods have led to the proliferation for their application in understanding many physical phenomena. Traditionally, these two techniques have largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Arnob Ray , Tanujit Chakraborty , Dibakar Ghosh

We present a novel approach to EEG decoding for non-invasive brain machine interfaces (BMIs), with a focus on motor-behavior classification. While conventional convolutional architectures such as EEGNet and DeepConvNet are effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Tian Lan

Recent years have seen a surge in interest in building deep learning-based fully data-driven models for weather prediction. Such deep learning models if trained on observations can mitigate certain biases in current state-of-the-art weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Jaideep Pathak , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Wahid Bhimji , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Forecasting time series with extreme events has been a challenging and prevalent research topic, especially when the time series data are affected by complicated uncertain factors, such as is the case in hydrologic prediction. Diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Yanhong Li , Jack Xu , David C. Anastasiu

Phytoplankton is the basis of marine food webs, driving both ecological processes and global biogeochemical cycles. Despite their ecological and climatic significance, accurately simulating phytoplankton dynamics remains a major challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Mahima Lakra , Ronan Fablet , Lucas Drumetz , Etienne Pauthenet , Elodie Martinez

Global warming leads to the increase in frequency and intensity of climate extremes that cause tremendous loss of lives and property. Accurate long-range climate prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster risk management for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Ken C. L. Wong , Hongzhi Wang , Etienne E. Vos , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell D. Watson , Tanveer Syeda-Mahmood

We propose a physics-informed Echo State Network (ESN) to predict the evolution of chaotic systems. Compared to conventional ESNs, the physics-informed ESNs are trained to solve supervised learning tasks while ensuring that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Trajectory prediction is a critical part of many AI applications, for example, the safe operation of autonomous vehicles. However, current methods are prone to making inconsistent and physically unrealistic predictions. We leverage insights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Robin Walters , Jinxi Li , Rose Yu

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

Monitoring ground displacement is crucial for urban infrastructure stability and mitigating geological hazards. However, forecasting future deformation from sparse Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time-series data remains a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Wendong Yao , Saeed Azadnejad , Binhua Huang , Shane Donohue , Soumyabrata Dev

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

The prediction of the electric field (E-field) plays a crucial role in monitoring radiofrequency electromagnetic field (RF-EMF) exposure induced by cellular networks. In this paper, a deep learning framework is proposed to predict E-field…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-06 Yarui Zhang , Shanshan Wang , Joe Wiart

Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN) are inherently equivariant under translations, however, they do not have an equivalent embedded mechanism to handle other transformations such as rotations and change in scale. Several approaches exist…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Naman Khetan , Tushar Arora , Samee Ur Rehman , Deepak K. Gupta