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The spreading of evolutionary novelties across populations is the central element of adaptation. Unless population are well-mixed (like bacteria in a shaken test tube), the spreading dynamics not only depends on fitness differences but also…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-19 Oskar Hallatschek , Daniel S. Fisher

Infectious disease outbreaks have precipitated a profusion of mathematical models. Epidemic curves predicted by these models are typically qualitatively similar, despite distinct model assumptions, but there is no theoretical explanation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-23 David J. D. Earn , Todd L. Parsons

In contrast to previous common wisdom that epidemic activity in heterogeneous networks is dominated by the hubs with the largest number of connections, recent research has pointed out the role that the innermost, dense core of the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-04 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

In some systems, the behavior of the constituent units can create a `context' that modifies the direct interactions among them. This mechanism of indirect modification inspired us to develop a minimal model of context-dependent spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Giulio Burgio , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

Nowadays, one of the challenges we face when carrying out modeling of epidemic spreading is to develop methods to control disease transmission. In this article we study how the spreading of knowledge of a disease affects the propagation of…

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

Established theoretical studies of diffusion in rugged (or rough) potential surfaces have largely focused on quenched energy landscapes. Here we study diffusion on a rugged energy landscape in the presence of dynamic disorder, a situation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-28 Biman Bagchi

Diffusion processes in a social system are governed by external triggers and internal excitations via interactions between individuals over social networks. Underlying mechanisms are crucial to understand emergent phenomena in the real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Minkyoung Kim , Raja Jurdak , Dean Paini

We present a novel mathematical model of heterogeneous cell proliferation where the total population consists of a subpopulation of slow-proliferating cells and a subpopulation of fast-proliferating cells. The model incorporates two…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-04 Sean T. Vittadello , Scott W. McCue , Gency Gunasingh , Nikolas K. Haass , Matthew J. Simpson

Resource diffusion is an ubiquitous phenomenon, but how it impacts epidemic spreading has received little study. We propose a model that couples epidemic spreading and resource diffusion in multiplex networks. The spread of disease in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-13 Xiaolong Chen , Wei Wang , Shimin Cai , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

We develop a diffusion approximation for systems subject to fast random resetting by small amplitudes. Equivalently, this describes systems with frequent but small catastrophes. We demonstrate the validity of the approximation by computing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-26 Tobias Galla

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

High impact epidemics constitute one of the largest threats humanity is facing in the 21st century. Testing, contact tracing and quarantining are critical in slowing down epidemic dynamics, but may prove insufficient for highly contagious…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-09 Davide Scarselli , Nazmi Burak Budanur , Marc Timme , Björn Hof

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Human diseases spread over networks of contacts between individuals and a substantial body of recent research has focused on the dynamics of the spreading process. Here we examine a model of two competing diseases spreading over the same…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman

The interaction among spreading processes on a complex network is a nontrivial phenomenon of great importance. It has recently been realized that cooperative effects among infective diseases can give rise to qualitative changes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Byungjoon Min , Claudio Castellano

This paper studies an epidemic model with nonlocal dispersals. We focus on the influences of initial data and nonlocal dispersals on its spatial propagation. Here the initial data stand for the spatial concentrations of infectious agent and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Wen-Bing Xu , Wan-Tong Li , Shigui Ruan

We introduce the concept of Randomly Modulated Gaussian Processes as a unifying framework for modeling, analyzing and classifying anomalous diffusion models in heterogeneous media. This formulation incorporates correlations in the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Yann Lanoiselée , Denis S. Grebenkov , Gianni Pagnini

Burstiness, the tendency of interaction events to be heterogeneously distributed in time, is critical to information diffusion in physical and social systems. However, an analytical framework capturing the effect of burstiness on generic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-14 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , James P. Gleeson , Márton Karsai
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