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We develop a model-based empirical Bayes approach to variable selection problems in which the number of predictors is very large, possibly much larger than the number of responses (the so-called 'large p, small n' problem). We consider the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Haim Y. Bar , James G. Booth , Martin T. Wells

This paper focuses on linear regression models with non-conjugate sparsity-inducing regularizers such as lasso and group lasso. Although the empirical Bayes approach enables us to estimate the regularization parameter, little is known on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Tsukasa Yoshida , Kazuho Watanabe

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-09 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

The model averaging problem is to average multiple models to achieve a prediction accuracy not much worse than that of the best single model in terms of mean squared error. It is known that if the models are misspecified, model averaging is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Dong Dai , Lei Han , Ting Yang , Tong Zhang

In many astrophysical settings covariance matrices of large datasets have to be determined empirically from a finite number of mock realisations. The resulting noise degrades inference and precludes it completely if there are fewer…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 Benjamin Joachimi

As was shown recently, the measurement errors in regressors affect only the power of the rank test, but not its critical region. Noting that, we study the effect of measurement errors on R-estimators in linear model. It is demonstrated that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Jana Jurečková , Hira L. Koul , Radim Navrátil , Jan Picek

We introduce functional adaptive shrinkage (FASH), an empirical Bayes method for joint analysis of observation units in which each unit estimates an effect function at several values of a continuous condition variable. The ideas in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Ziang Zhang , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

In nonparametric statistics an optimality criterion for estimation procedures is provided by the minimax rate of convergence. However this classical point of view is subject to controversy as it requires to look for the worst behaviour…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-20 A. Fraysse

Bayesian approaches for handling covariate measurement error are well established, and yet arguably are still relatively little used by researchers. For some this is likely due to unfamiliarity or disagreement with the Bayesian inferential…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-01 Jonathan W. Bartlett , Ruth H. Keogh

Researchers regularly perform conditional prediction using imputed values of missing data. However, applications of imputation often lack a firm foundation in statistical theory. This paper originated when we were unable to find analysis…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-24 Charles F Manski , Michael Gmeiner , Anat Tamburc

The Robbins estimator is the most iconic and widely used procedure in the empirical Bayes literature for the Poisson model. On one hand, this method has been recently shown to be minimax optimal in terms of the regret (excess risk over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Soham Jana , Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

We empirically show that Bayesian inference can be inconsistent under misspecification in simple linear regression problems, both in a model averaging/selection and in a Bayesian ridge regression setting. We use the standard linear model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Peter Grünwald , Thijs van Ommen

Crossing of fitted conditional quantiles is a prevalent problem for quantile regression models. We propose a new Bayesian modelling framework that penalises multiple quantile regression functions toward the desired non-crossing space. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

This paper studies the multiplicity-correction effect of standard Bayesian variable-selection priors in linear regression. Our first goal is to clarify when, and how, multiplicity correction happens automatically in Bayesian analysis, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-11 James G. Scott , James O. Berger

Regression plays a key role in many research areas and its variable selection is a classic and major problem. This study emphasizes cost of predictors to be purchased for future use, when we select a subset of them. Its economic aspect is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Steven N. MacEachern , Koji Miyawaki

We consider the problem of empirical Bayes estimation of multiple variances when provided with sample variances. Assuming an arbitrary prior on the variances, we derive different versions of the Bayes estimators using different loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Yeil Kwon , Zhigen Zhao

This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 David A. Hirshberg , Stefan Wager
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