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When tracking maneuvering targets, model-driven approaches encounter difficulties in comprehensively delineating complex real-world scenarios and are prone to model mismatch when the targets maneuver. Meanwhile, contemporary data-driven…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-21 Shuyang Zhang , Chang Gao , Qingfu Zhang , Tianyi Jia , Hongwei Liu

Uncertainty is an essential consideration for time series forecasting tasks. In this work, we specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of traffic forecasting. To achieve this, we develop Deep Spatio-Temporal Uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Weizhu Qian , Dalin Zhang , Yan Zhao , Kai Zheng , James J. Q. Yu

Uniform Discrete Diffusion Model (UDM) has recently emerged as a promising paradigm for discrete generative modeling; however, its integration with reinforcement learning remains largely unexplored. We observe that naively applying GRPO to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaqi Wang , Haoge Deng , Ting Pan , Yang Liu , Chengyuan Wang , Fan Zhang , Yonggang Qi , Xinlong Wang

Correcting for detector effects in experimental data, particularly through unfolding, is critical for enabling precision measurements in high-energy physics. However, traditional unfolding methods face challenges in scalability,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-28 Camila Pazos , Shuchin Aeron , Pierre-Hugues Beauchemin , Vincent Croft , Zhengyan Huan , Martin Klassen , Taritree Wongjirad

Trajectory prediction is central to the safe and seamless operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In deployment, however, prediction models inevitably face distribution shifts between training data and real-world conditions, where rare or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are being increasingly deployed in urban environments. In order to operate safely and reliably, AVs need to account for the inherent uncertainty associated with perceiving the world through sensor data and…

End-to-end planning systems for autonomous driving are rapidly improving, especially in closed-loop simulation environments like CARLA. Many such driving systems either do not consider uncertainty as part of the plan itself or obtain it by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Florian Wintel , Sigmund H. Høeg , Gabriel Kiss , Frank Lindseth

Kinematic sensors are often used to analyze movement behaviors in sports and daily activities due to their ease of use and lack of spatial restrictions, unlike video-based motion capturing systems. Still, the generation, and especially the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Heiko Oppel , Michael Munz

Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Tongfe Guo , Taposh Banerjee , Rui Liu , Lili Su

Diffusion models have shown promise in forecasting future data from multivariate time series. However, few existing methods account for recurring structures, or patterns, that appear within the data. We present Pattern-Guided Diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Vivian Lin , Kuk Jin Jang , Wenwen Si , Insup Lee

Deterministic mathematical models, such as those specified via differential equations, are a powerful tool to communicate scientific insight. However, such models are necessarily simplified descriptions of the real world. Generalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Zheyang Shen , Jeremias Knoblauch , Sam Power , Chris. J. Oates

Diffusion-based data augmentation (DiffDA) has emerged as a promising approach to improving classification performance under data scarcity. However, existing works vary significantly in task configurations, model choices, and experimental…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zekun Li , Yinghuan Shi , Yang Gao , Dong Xu

While many unsupervised learning models focus on one family of tasks, either generative or discriminative, we explore the possibility of a unified representation learner: a model which addresses both families of tasks simultaneously. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Soumik Mukhopadhyay , Matthew Gwilliam , Yosuke Yamaguchi , Vatsal Agarwal , Namitha Padmanabhan , Archana Swaminathan , Tianyi Zhou , Jun Ohya , Abhinav Shrivastava

In this paper, we present a novel trajectory prediction model for autonomous driving, combining a Characterized Diffusion Module and a Spatial-Temporal Interaction Network to address the challenges posed by dynamic and heterogeneous traffic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Haoming Li

Accurate prediction of pedestrian trajectories is crucial for improving the safety of autonomous driving. However, this task is generally nontrivial due to the inherent stochasticity of human motion, which naturally requires the predictor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Ge Sun , Sheng Wang , Lei Zhu , Ming Liu , Jun Ma

Deep learning is increasingly being applied in safety-critical domains. For these scenarios it is important to know the level of uncertainty in a model's prediction to ensure appropriate decisions are made by the system. Deep ensembles are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

Maritime vessel maneuvers, characterized by their inherent complexity and indeterminacy, requires vessel trajectory prediction system capable of modeling the multi-modality nature of future motion states. Conventional stochastic trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Changlin Li , Yanglei Gan , Tian Lan , Yuxiang Cai , Xueyi Liu , Run Lin , Qiao Liu

Diffusion Probabilistic Models stand as a critical tool in generative modelling, enabling the generation of complex data distributions. This family of generative models yields record-breaking performance in tasks such as image synthesis,…

User mobility trajectory and mobile traffic data are essential for a wide spectrum of applications including urban planning, network optimization, and emergency management. However, large-scale and fine-grained mobility data remains…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ziyi Liu , Qingyue Long , Zhiwen Xue , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long