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Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

A key drawback of the current generation of artificial decision-makers is that they do not adapt well to changes in unexpected situations. This paper addresses the situation in which an AI for aerial dog fighting, with tunable parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-14 Brett Israelsen , Nisar Ahmed

Data-driven methods for the identification of the governing equations of dynamical systems or the computation of reduced surrogate models play an increasingly important role in many application areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Stefan Klus , Hongyu Zhu

A supervisory observer is a multiple-model architecture, which estimates the parameters and the states of nonlinear systems. It consists of a bank of state observers, where each observer is designed for some nominal parameter values sampled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-06 Michelle S. Chong , Romain Postoyan , Sei Zhen Khong , Dragan Nesic

A machine-learning-based framework for modeling the error introduced by surrogate models of parameterized dynamical systems is proposed. The framework entails the use of high-dimensional regression techniques (e.g., random forests, LASSO)…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Sumeet Trehan , Kevin Carlberg , Louis J. Durlofsky

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado

The quantitative understanding and precise control of complex dynamical systems can only be achieved by observing their internal states via measurement and/or estimation. In large-scale dynamical networks, it is often difficult or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Arthur N. Montanari , Chao Duan , Luis A. Aguirre , Adilson E. Motter

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

We propose a neural network based approach for extracting models from dynamic data using ordinary and partial differential equations. In particular, given a time-series or spatio-temporal dataset, we seek to identify an accurate governing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Yifan Sun , Linan Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

We propose a model order reduction approach for non-intrusive surrogate modeling of parametric dynamical systems. The reduced model over the whole parameter space is built by combining surrogates in frequency only, built at few selected…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-23 Fabio Nobile , Davide Pradovera

This work introduces a novel two-stage distributed framework to globally estimate constant parameters in a networked system, separating shared information from local estimation. The first stage uses dynamic average consensus to aggregate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Ariana R. Mendez-Castillo , Rodrigo Aldana-Lopez , Antonio Ramirez-Trevino , Rosario Aragues , David Gomez-Gutierrez

We develop a data-driven machine learning approach to identifying parameters with steady-state solutions, locating such solutions, and determining their linear stability for systems of ordinary differential equations and dynamical systems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Yimeng Zhang , Alexander Cloninger , Bo Li , Xiaochuan Tian

This study addresses the challenge of predicting network dynamics, such as forecasting disease spread in social networks or estimating species populations in predator-prey networks. Accurate predictions in large networks are difficult due…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Rui Luo

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Governing equations are essential to the study of nonlinear dynamics, often enabling the prediction of previously unseen behaviors as well as the inclusion into control strategies. The discovery of governing equations from data thus has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Alejandro Carderera , Sebastian Pokutta , Christof Schütte , Martin Weiser

Network inference approaches are widely used to shed light on regulatory interplay between molecular players such as genes and proteins. Biochemical processes underlying networks of interest (e.g. gene regulatory or protein signalling…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-03 Chris J Oates , Bryan T Hennessy , Yiling Lu , Gordon B Mills , Sach Mukherjee

This work presents an interpretable parametric surrogate model motivated by the need to identify a hydrodynamic model for resolving the trajectory of an object in real-time. The surrogate is formulated as a reduced-order model for a…