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Recent advances in deep learning have brought to the fore models that can make multiple computational steps in the service of completing a task; these are capable of describ- ing long-term dependencies in sequential data. Novel recurrent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-06 Kyriakos Tolias , Sotirios Chatzis

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely used in clinical trials to balance prognostic factors, and regression adjustments are often adopted to further enhance the estimation and inference efficiency. In practice, the covariates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Wanjia Fu , Yingying Ma , Hanzhong Liu

We propose a novel calibration method for computer simulators, dealing with the problem of covariate shift. Covariate shift is the situation where input distributions for training and test are different, and ubiquitous in applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-20 Keiichi Kisamori , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki

In social science researches, causal inference regarding peer effects often faces significant challenges due to homophily bias and contextual confounding. For example, unmeasured health conditions (e.g., influenza) and psychological states…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Shanshan Luo , Kang Shuai , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li , Yangbo He

Performance estimation under covariate shift is a crucial component of safe AI model deployment, especially for sensitive use-cases. Recently, several solutions were proposed to tackle this problem, most leveraging model predictions or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Mélanie Roschewitz , Ben Glocker

In randomized experiments, covariates are often used to reduce variance and improve the precision of treatment effect estimates. However, in many real-world settings, interference between units, where one unit's treatment affects another's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Xinyi Wang , Shuangning Li

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

Drafting strong players is crucial for the team success. We describe a new data-driven interpretable approach for assessing draft prospects in the National Hockey League. Successful previous approaches have built a predictive model based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-27 Oliver Schulte , Yejia Liu , Chao Li

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

Covariance matrix estimation is an important problem in multivariate data analysis, both from theoretical as well as applied points of view. Many simple and popular covariance matrix estimators are known to be severely affected by model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

The dynamic ranking, due to its increasing importance in many applications, is becoming crucial, especially with the collection of voluminous time-dependent data. One such application is sports statistics, where dynamic ranking aids in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Xin-Yu Tian , Jian Shi , Xiaotong Shen , Kai Song

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

Methods of transfer learning try to combine knowledge from several related tasks (or domains) to improve performance on a test task. Inspired by causal methodology, we relax the usual covariate shift assumption and assume that it holds true…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-25 Mateo Rojas-Carulla , Bernhard Schölkopf , Richard Turner , Jonas Peters

We provide an algorithm with constant running time that given a weighted tournament $T$, distinguishes with high probability of success between the cases that $T$ can be represented by a Bradley--Terry model, or cannot even be approximated…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Agelos Georgakopoulos , Konstantinos Tyros

This paper proposes a regularized pairwise difference approach for estimating the linear component coefficient in a partially linear model, with consistency and exact rates of convergence obtained in high dimensions under mild scaling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-15 Fang Han , Zhao Ren , Yuxin Zhu

Area-specific causal inference is important in many policy and survey applications, where the goal is to evaluate treatment effects for small geographic or demographic domains. Existing causal small area estimation methods, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In the partially-observed outcome setting, a recent set of proposals known as "prediction-powered inference" (PPI) involve (i) applying a pre-trained machine learning model to predict the response, and then (ii) using these predictions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Runjia Zou , Daniela Witten , Brian Williamson

Collaboration between different data centers is often challenged by heterogeneity across sites. To account for the heterogeneity, the state-of-the-art method is to re-weight the covariate distributions in each site to match the distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Tianyu Guo , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Michael I. Jordan

Transfer learning of prediction models has been extensively studied, while the corresponding policy learning approaches are rarely discussed. In this paper, we propose principled approaches for learning the optimal policy in the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Xueqing Liu , Qinwei Yang , Zhaoqing Tian , Ruocheng Guo , Peng Wu

In this paper, we introduce a general model for jointly modelling the nodal heterogeneity and covariates in weighted or unweighted bipartite networks, which contains two different types of nodes. The model has a degree heterogeneity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Wu Zuhui , Wang Qiuping , Yan Ting