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We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Autonomous cars have to navigate in dynamic environment which can be full of uncertainties. The uncertainties can come either from sensor limitations such as occlusions and limited sensor range, or from probabilistic prediction of other…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-06 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Ching-Yao Chan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

We present a data-driven approach for producing policies that are provably robust across unknown stochastic environments. Existing approaches can learn models of a single environment as an interval Markov decision processes (IMDP) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

We study the automated abstraction-based synthesis of correct-by-construction control policies for stochastic dynamical systems with unknown dynamics. Our approach is to learn an abstraction from sampled data, which is represented in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-03 Mahdi Nazeri , Thom Badings , Anne-Kathrin Schmuck , Sadegh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

Capturing uncertainty in models of complex dynamical systems is crucial to designing safe controllers. Stochastic noise causes aleatoric uncertainty, whereas imprecise knowledge of model parameters leads to epistemic uncertainty. Several…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom Badings , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , Nils Jansen

Autonomous systems with machine learning-based perception can exhibit unpredictable behaviors that are difficult to quantify, let alone verify. Such behaviors are convenient to capture in probabilistic models, but probabilistic model…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Matthew Cleaveland , Ivan Ruchkin , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are formal models commonly used in sequential decision-making. MDPs capture the stochasticity that may arise, for instance, from imprecise actuators via probabilities in the transition function. However, in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Marnix Suilen , Thiago D. Simão , David Parker , Nils Jansen

Multi-objective probabilistic model checking is a powerful technique for verifying stochastic systems against multiple (potentially conflicting) properties. To enhance the trustworthiness and explainability of model checking tools, we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Christel Baier , Calvin Chau , Volodymyr Drobitko , Simon Jantsch , Sascha Klüppelholz

Autonomous systems use extensively learning-enabled components such as deep neural networks (DNNs) for prediction and decision making. In this paper, we utilize a feedback loop between learning-enabled components used for classification and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Dimitrios Boursinos , Xenofon Koutsoukos

This paper proposes to use probabilistic model checking to synthesize optimal robot policies in multi-tasking autonomous systems that are subject to human-robot interaction. Given the convincing empirical evidence that human behavior can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Control applications often feature tasks with similar, but not identical, dynamics. We introduce the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP), a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Finale Doshi-Velez , George Konidaris

A supervised learning framework is proposed to approximate a model predictive controller (MPC) with reduced computational complexity and guarantees on stability and constraint satisfaction. The framework can be used for a wide class of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Michael Hertneck , Johannes Köhler , Sebastian Trimpe , Frank Allgöwer

We present a learning model predictive control (MPC) scheme for chance-constrained Markov jump systems with unknown switching probabilities. Using samples of the underlying Markov chain, ambiguity sets of transition probabilities are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a powerful abstraction for tasks that require decision making under uncertainty, and capture a wide range of real world tasks. Today, effective planning approaches exist that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-24 Sebastian Tschiatschek , Kai Arulkumaran , Jan Stühmer , Katja Hofmann

This paper studies the synthesis of a joint control and active perception policy for a stochastic system modeled as a partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), subject to temporal logic specifications. The POMDP actions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-21 Chongyang Shi , Michael R. Dorothy , Jie Fu

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) form a prominent model for uncertainty in sequential decision making. We are interested in constructing algorithms with theoretical guarantees to determine whether the agent has a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Marius Belly , Nathanaël Fijalkow , Hugo Gimbert , Florian Horn , Guillermo A. Pérez , Pierre Vandenhove

We introduce a novel methodology for testing stochastic black-box systems, frequently encountered in embedded systems. Our approach enhances the established black-box checking (BBC) technique to address stochastic behavior. Traditional BBC…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Junya Shijubo , Masaki Waga , Kohei Suenaga

Decision-making for automated driving remains a challenging task. For their integration into real platforms, these algorithms must guarantee passenger safety and comfort while ensuring interpretability and an appropriate computational time.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Karim Essalmi , Fernando Garrido , Fawzi Nashashibi

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) model decision making under uncertainty. While there are many approaches to approximately solving POMDPs, we aim to address the problem of learning such models. In particular, we are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Aidan Curtis , Hao Tang , Thiago Veloso , Kevin Ellis , Joshua Tenenbaum , Tomás Lozano-Pérez , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti