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Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-20 Niek Tax , Ilya Verenich , Marcello La Rosa , Marlon Dumas

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) is a class of techniques designed to predict behaviour, such as next activities, in running traces. PBPM techniques aim to improve process performance by providing predictions to process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Sven Weinzierl , Sandra Zilker , Jens Brunk , Kate Revoredo , Martin Matzner , Jörg Becker

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) aims to predict future process behavior during ongoing process executions based on event log data. Especially, techniques for the next activity and timestamp prediction can help to improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 An Nguyen , Srijeet Chatterjee , Sven Weinzierl , Leo Schwinn , Martin Matzner , Bjoern Eskofier

Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) techniques predict future process behaviour based on historical event log data to improve operational business processes. Concerning the next activity prediction, recent PBPM techniques use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Sven Weinzierl , Sebastian Dunzer , Sandra Zilker , Martin Matzner

Researchers have proposed a variety of predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) techniques aiming to predict future process behaviour during the process execution. Especially, techniques for the next activity prediction anticipate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 S. Weinzierl , S. Zilker , J. Brunk , K. Revoredo , A. Nguyen , M. Matzner , J. Becker , B. Eskofier

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future outcomes of ongoing business processes. However, existing methods often lack flexibility to handle real-world challenges such as simultaneous events, class imbalance, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Fang Wang , Paolo Ceravolo , Ernesto Damiani

Recent papers have introduced a novel approach to explain why a Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) model for outcome-oriented predictions provides wrong predictions. Moreover, they have shown how to exploit the explanations, obtained using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Predictive business process monitoring (PPM) has been around for several years as a use case of process mining. PPM enables foreseeing the future of a business process through predicting relevant information about how a running process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Ghada Elkhawaga , Mervat Abuelkheir , Manfred Reichert

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) aims at leveraging historic process execution data to predict how ongoing executions will continue up to their completion. In recent years, PPM techniques for the prediction of the next activities have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Ivan Donadello , Jonghyeon Ko , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Jan Mendling , Francesco Riva , Matthias Weidlich

Despite the recent progress in deep neural networks (DNNs), it remains challenging to explain the predictions made by DNNs. Existing explanation methods for DNNs mainly focus on post-hoc explanations where another explanatory model is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Wei Qian , Chenxu Zhao , Yangyi Li , Fenglong Ma , Chao Zhang , Mengdi Huai

The contemporary process-aware information systems possess the capabilities to record the activities generated during the process execution. To leverage these process specific fine-granular data, process mining has recently emerged as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Nijat Mehdiyev , Peter Fettke

Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Nicolò Navarin , Beatrice Vincenzi , Mirko Polato , Alessandro Sperduti

The field of predictive process monitoring focuses on case-level models to predict a single specific outcome such as a particular objective, (remaining) time, or next activity/remaining sequence. Recently, a longer-horizon, model-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Deep-learning models such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) have been successfully used for process-mining tasks. They have achieved better performance for different predictive tasks than traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Ishwar Venugopal , Jessica Töllich , Michael Fairbank , Ansgar Scherp

This study proposes an innovative explainable predictive quality analytics solution to facilitate data-driven decision-making for process planning in manufacturing by combining process mining, machine learning, and explainable artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Nijat Mehdiyev , Peter Fettke

Modern data analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-led decision making. As an important branch of state-of-the-art data analytics, business process predictions are also faced…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Chun Ouyang , Renuka Sindhgatta , Catarina Moreira

This paper addresses the problem of suffix prediction in Business Process Management (BPM) by proposing a Neuro-Symbolic Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) approach that integrates data-driven learning with temporal logic-based prior…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Axel Mezini , Elena Umili , Ivan Donadello , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Matteo Mancanelli , Fabio Patrizi

This paper presents a systematic literature review (SLR) on the explainability and interpretability of machine learning (ML) models within the context of predictive process mining, using the PRISMA framework. Given the rapid advancement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

Predictive Process Monitoring is a branch of process mining that aims to predict the outcome of an ongoing process. Recently, it leveraged machine-and-deep learning architectures. In this paper, we extend our prior LLM-based Predictive…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Alessandro Padella , Massimiliano de Leoni , Marlon Dumas

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future events in ongoing cases based on historical event logs. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are well suited to capture structural dependencies in process data, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Fang Wang , Ernesto Damiani
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