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Related papers: Probabilistic Net Load Forecasting for High-Penetr…

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Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use. Here, we introduce…

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Deep Generative Models (DGMs), including Energy-Based Models (EBMs) and Score-based Generative Models (SGMs), have advanced high-fidelity data generation and complex continuous distribution approximation. However, their application in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Yangming Li , Chieh-Hsin Lai , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Yuki Mitsufuji , Stefano Ermon

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Channel estimation for massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems is fundamentally constrained by excessive pilot overhead and high estimation latency. To overcome these obstacles, recent studies have leveraged deep generative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Ziqi Diao , Xingyu Zhou , Le Liang , Shi Jin

This paper offers a strategic approach to Electric Vehicles (EVs) charging network planning, emphasizing the integration of demand and supply dynamics via continuous-time fluid queue models and discrete flow refueling location modeling, all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-18 Xiangyong Luo , Michael J. Kuby , Yudai Honma , Mouna Kchaou-Boujelben , Xuesong , Zhou

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Abrar Majeedi , Viswanatha Reddy Gajjala , Satya Sai Srinath Namburi GNVV , Nada Magdi Elkordi , Yin Li

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

This paper examines the integrated generation and transmission expansion planning problem to address the growing challenges associated with increasing power network loads. The proposed approach optimizes the operation and investment costs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Arash Baharvandi , Duong Tung Nguyen

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

The electric vehicle (EV) and electric vehicle charging station (EVCS) have been widely deployed with the development of large-scale transportation electrifications. However, since charging behaviors of EVs show large uncertainties, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Yuanzheng Li , Shangyang He , Yang Li , Leijiao Ge , Suhua Lou , Zhigang Zeng

Image super-resolution is a fundamentally ill-posed problem because multiple valid high-resolution images exist for one low-resolution image. Super-resolution methods based on diffusion probabilistic models can deal with the ill-posed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Yutao Yuan , Chun Yuan

Renewable energy adoption has increased significantly over the past few years. However, with the increasing adoption of renewable energy, forecasting the net load has become a major challenge due to the inherent uncertainty associated with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Oluwafolajimi Samuel Bolusteve , Linhan Fang , Xingpeng Li

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Fredrik Lindsten

Extreme streamflow is a key indicator of flood risk, and quantifying the changes in its distribution under non-stationary climate conditions is key to mitigating the impact of flooding events. We propose a non-stationary process mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 Reetam Majumder , Brian Reich

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of autonomous vehicles. The growing popularity of deep learning has led to the development of numerous methods for trajectory prediction. While deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Kehua Chen , Xianda Chen , Zihan Yu , Meixin Zhu , Hai Yang

Modern power grids are evolving to become more interconnected, include more electric vehicles (EVs), and utilize more renewable energy sources (RES). Increased interconnectivity provides an opportunity to manage EVs and RES by using price…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-12 Kelsey M. Nelson , Maureen S. Golan , Matthew D. Bartos , Javad Mohammadi

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…