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An (upward) skip-free Markov chain with the set of nonnegative integers as state space is a chain for which upward jumps may be only of unit size; there is no restriction on downward jumps. In a 1987 paper, Brown and Shao determined, for an…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-06 James Allen Fill

A fundamental problem when aggregating Markov chains is the specification of the number of state groups. Too few state groups may fail to sufficiently capture the pertinent dynamics of the original, high-order Markov chain. Too many state…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Isaac J. Sledge , Jose C. Principe

The conventional perspective on Markov chains considers decision problems concerning the probabilities of temporal properties being satisfied by traces of visited states. However, consider the following query made of a stochastic system…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Rajab Aghamov , Christel Baier , Toghrul Karimov , Joris Nieuwveld , Joël Ouaknine , Jakob Piribauer , Mihir Vahanwala

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

We consider a model for a queue in which only a fixed number $N$ of customers can join. Each customer joins the queue independently at an exponentially distributed time. Assuming further that the service times are independent and follow an…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Gianmarco Bet , Jori Selen , Alessandro Zocca

Continuous-time Markov chains describing interacting processes exhibit a state space that grows exponentially in the number of processes. This state-space explosion renders the computation or storage of the time-marginal distribution, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Peter Georg , Lars Grasedyck , Maren Klever , Rudolf Schill , Rainer Spang , Tilo Wettig

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

In this note we consider a Markov chain formed by a finite system of interacting birth-and-death processes on a finite state space. We study an asymptotic behaviour of the Markov chain as its state space becomes large. In particular, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Vadim Shcherbakov , Anatoly Yambartsev

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

In this paper we study a reflected Markov-modulated Brownian motion with a two sided reflection in which the drift, diffusion coefficient and the two boundaries are (jointly) modulated by a finite state space irreducible continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-27 Bernardo D'Auria , Offer Kella

A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

We study the synchronization behavior of discrete-time Markov chains on countable state spaces. Representing a Markov chain in terms of a random dynamical system, which describes the collective dynamics of trajectories driven by the same…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Robin Chemnitz , Maximilian Engel , Guillermo Olicón-Mendez

We consider a Markov chain of point processes such that each state is a super position of an independent cluster process with the previous state as its centre process together with some independent noise process. The model extends earlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Jesper Møller , Andreas D. Christoffersen

We study random walk on complex networks with transition probabilities which depend on the current and previously visited nodes. By using an absorbing Markov chain we derive an exact expression for the mean first passage time between pairs…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-14 Lasko Basnarkov , Miroslav Mirchev , Ljupco Kocarev

The paper studies the time-homogeneous two-state Markov chains; the states are assumed to be binary symbols 0 and 1. The higher-order absolute differences taken from progressive states of a given chain are considered. A discrete capacity of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-06 A. Yu. Shahverdian

We study positive recurrence and transience of a two-station network in which the behavior of the server in each station is governed by a Markov chain with a finite number of server states; this service process can represent various service…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-29 Toshihisa Ozawa

A Markov process fluctuating away from its typical behavior can be represented in the long-time limit by another Markov process, called the effective or driven process, having the same stationary states as the original process conditioned…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We analyze opportunistic schemes for transmission scheduling from one of $n$ homogeneous queues whose channel states fluctuate independently. Considered schemes consist of the LCQ policy, which transmits from a longest connected queue in…

Performance · Computer Science 2008-10-02 Murat Alanyali , Maxim Dashouk

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

This paper addresses the problem of finding a minimum-cost $m$-state Markov chain $(S_0,\ldots,S_{m-1})$ in a large set of chains. The chains studied have a reward associated with each state. The cost of a chain is its "gain", i.e., its…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Mordecai J. Golin , Albert John Lalim Patupat