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Structural identifiability is the theoretical ability to uniquely recover model parameters from ideal, noise-free data and is a prerequisite for reliable parameter estimation in epidemic modeling. Despite its importance for calibration and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-15 Yuganthi R. Liyanage , Omar Saucedo , Necibe Tuncer , Gerardo Chowell

The recent coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has dramatically increased the public awareness and appreciation of the utility of dynamic models. At the same time, the dissemination of contradictory model predictions has highlighted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-26 Gemma Massonis , Julio R. Banga , Alejandro F. Villaverde

Recent outbreaks of monkeypox and Ebola, and worrying waves of COVID-19, influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, have all led to a sharp increase in the use of epidemiological models to estimate key epidemiological parameters. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-01 B. K. M. Case , Jean-Gabriel Young , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

The successful application of epidemic models hinges on our ability to estimate model parameters from limited observations reliably. An often-overlooked step before estimating model parameters consists of ensuring that the model parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-29 Gerardo Chowell , Sushma Dahal , Yuganthi R. Liyanage , Amna Tariq , Necibe Tuncer

Computational and mathematical models rely heavily on estimated parameter values for model development. Identifiability analysis determines how well the parameters of a model can be estimated from experimental data. Identifiability analysis…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-12 Marissa Renardy , Denise Kirschner , Marisa Eisenberg

Practical parameter identifiability in ODE-based epidemiological models is a known issue, yet one that merits further study. It is essentially ubiquitous due to noise and errors in real data. In this study, to avoid uncertainty stemming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Q. Y. Chen , Z. Rapti , Y. Drossinos , J. Cuevas-Maraver , G. A. Kevrekidis , P. G. Kevrekidis

If model identifiability is not confirmed, inferences from infectious disease transmission models may not be reliable, so they might lead to misleading recommendations. Structural identifiability analysis characterizes whether it is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Emmanuelle A. Dankwa , Andrew F. Brouwer , Christl A. Donnelly

Identifiability of a mathematical model plays a crucial role in parameterization of the model. In this study, we establish the structural identifiability of a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model given different combinations…

Reliable predictions from systems biology models require knowing whether parameters can be estimated from available data, and with what certainty. Identifiability analysis reveals whether parameters are learnable in principle (structural…

Structural identifiability analysis determines whether the parameters of a mechanistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) model can be uniquely recovered from ideal observations and is therefore a fundamental prerequisite for reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Abdallah Alsammani

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

In this project, identifiability, observability and uncertainty properties of the deterministic and Chain Binomial stochastic SIR, SEIR and SEIAR epidemiological models are studied. Techniques for modeling overdispersion are investigated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-29 Jonas Hjulstad

Structural equation models are multivariate statistical models that are defined by specifying noisy functional relationships among random variables. We consider the classical case of linear relationships and additive Gaussian noise terms.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Mathias Drton , Rina Foygel , Seth Sullivant

Assessing the practical identifiability of epidemic models is essential for determining whether parameters can be meaningfully estimated from observed data. Monte Carlo (MC) methods provide an accessible and intuitive framework; however,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Chiara Mattamira , Olivia Prosper Feldman

The structural identifiability and the observability of a model determine the possibility of inferring its parameters and states by observing its outputs. These properties should be analysed before attempting to calibrate a model.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-18 Xabier Rey Barreiro , Alejandro F. Villaverde

A Profile Mixture Model is a model of protein evolution, describing sequence data in which sites are assumed to follow many related substitution processes on a single evolutionary tree. The processes depend in part on different amino acid…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-07 Samaneh Yourdkhani , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Many models in mathematical epidemiology are developed with the aim to provide a framework for parameter estimation and then prediction. It is well-known that parameters are not always uniquely identifiable. In this paper we consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-17 István Zoltán Kiss , Péter L. Simon

The problems of observability and identifiability have been of great interest as previous steps to estimating parameters and initial conditions of dynamical systems to which some known data (observations) are associated. While most works…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Alicja B Kubik , Benjamin Ivorra , Alain Rapaport , Ángel M Ramos

While hidden class models of various types arise in many statistical applications, it is often difficult to establish the identifiability of their parameters. Focusing on models in which there is some structure of independence of some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

Early estimates of the transmission potential of emerging and re-emerging infections are increasingly used to inform public health authorities on the level of risk posed by outbreaks. Existing methods to estimate the reproduction number…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-10 Gerardo Chowell , Cécile Viboud , Lone Simonsen , Seyed Moghadas
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