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Aggregated stochastic characteristics of geographically distributed wind generation will provide valuable information for secured and economical system operation in electricity markets. This paper focuses on the uncertainty set prediction…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Xiaopeng Li , Jiang Wu , Zhanbo Xu , Kun Liu , Jun Yu , Xiaohong Guan

With recent developments in remote sensing technologies, plot-level forest resources can be predicted utilizing airborne laser scanning (ALS). The prediction is often assisted by mostly vertical summaries of the ALS point clouds. We present…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Henrike Häbel , András Balázs , Mari Myllymäki

Distance sampling is a widely used method for estimating wildlife population abundance. The fact that conventional distance sampling methods are partly design-based constrains the spatial resolution at which animal density can be estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-23 Y. Yuan , F. E. Bachl , F. Lindgren , D. L. Brochers , J. B. Illian , S. T. Buckland , H. Rue , T. Gerrodette

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

The automated localisation of damage in structures is a challenging but critical ingredient in the path towards predictive or condition-based maintenance of high value structures. The use of acoustic emission time of arrival mapping is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Matthew R Jones , Timothy J Rogers , Elizabeth J Cross

To study the impact of climate variables on morbidity of some diseases in Mexico, we propose a spatio-temporal varying coefficients regression model. For that we introduce a new spatio-temporal dependent process prior, in a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-02 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

The study of ground-state properties of the Fermi-Hubbard model is a long-lasting task in the research of strongly correlated systems. Owing to the exponentially growing complexity of the system, a quantitative analysis usually demands high…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-08-15 Yue-Ran Shi , Yuan-Yao He , Ruijin Liu , Wei Zhang

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

To address the dual challenges of inherent stochasticity and non-differentiable metrics in physical spatiotemporal forecasting, we propose Spatiotemporal Forecasting as Planning (SFP), a new paradigm grounded in Model-Based Reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Shuaipeng Li , Fan Xu , Fan Zhang , Zhihong Zhu , Weiyan Wang , Xiao Luo , Kun Wang , Xian Wu , Xiaomeng Huang

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

While the analysis of airborne laser scanning (ALS) data often provides reliable estimates for certain forest stand attributes -- such as total volume or basal area -- there is still room for improvement, especially in estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-23 Petri Varvia , Timo Lähivaara , Matti Maltamo , Petteri Packalen , Aku Seppänen

Data assimilation in models representing spatio-temporal phenomena poses a challenge, particularly if the spatial histogram of the variable appears with multiple modes. The traditional Kalman model is based on a Gaussian initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-26 Maxime Conjard , Henning Omre

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Modern methods for quantifying and predicting species distribution play a crucial part in biodiversity conservation. Occupancy models are a popular choice for analyzing species occurrence data as they allow to separate the observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Jafet Belmont , Sara Martino , Janine Illian , Håvard Rue

Surrogate models are often used to replace costly-to-evaluate complex coastal codes to achieve substantial computational savings. In many of those models, the hydrometeorological forcing conditions (inputs) or flood events (outputs) are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 A. F. López-Lopera , D. Idier , J. Rohmer , F. Bachoc

Motivated by investigating spatio-temporal patterns of the distribution of continuous variables, we consider describing the conditional distribution function of the response variable incorporating spatio-temporal components given…

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