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This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

This paper characterises dynamic linkages arising from shocks with heterogeneous degrees of persistence. Using frequency domain techniques, we introduce measures that identify smoothly varying links of a transitory and persistent nature.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

Value at Risk (VaR) and stress testing are two of the most widely used approaches in portfolio risk management to estimate potential market value losses under adverse market moves. VaR quantifies potential loss in value over a specified…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-01 Krishan Mohan Nagpal

In normal times, it is assumed that financial institutions operating in non-overlapping sectors have complementary and distinct outcomes, typically reflected in mostly uncorrelated outcomes and asset returns. Such is the reasoning behind…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-19 Sayuj Choudhari , Richard Licheng Zhu

Stress-strain curves, or more generally, stress functions, are an extremely important characterization of a material's mechanical properties. However, stress functions are often difficult to derive and are narrowly tailored to a specific…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-12-21 Garrett Blum , Ryan Doris , Diego Klabjan , Horacio Espinosa , Ron Szalkowski

We summarize properties of the spatial sign covariance matrix and especially look at the relationship between its eigenvalues and those of the shape matrix of an elliptical distribution. The explicit relationship known in the bivariate case…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried , Daniel Vogel

The behavior of the power function of autocorrelation tests such as the Durbin-Watson test in time series regressions or the Cliff-Ord test in spatial regression models has been intensively studied in the literature. When the correlation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 David Preinerstorfer , Benedikt M. Pötscher

The main goal of this paper is to investigate under which conditions cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures are time-consistent. Proceeding as in Detlefsen and Scandolo \cite{detlef-scandolo} and inspired by their result, we give a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin

We demonstrate that the spatial correlations of microscopic stresses in 2D model colloidal gels obtained in computer simulations can be quantitatively described by the predictions of a theory for emergent elasticity of pre-stressed solids…

While acute stress has been shown to have both positive and negative effects on performance, not much is known about the impacts of stress on students grades during examinations. To answer this question, we examined whether a correlation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Willie Kang , Sean Kim , Eliot Yoo , Samuel Kim

Modeling correlation (and covariance) matrices can be challenging due to the positive-definiteness constraint and potential high-dimensionality. Our approach is to decompose the covariance matrix into the correlation and variance matrices…

Testing procedures for assessing a parametric regression model with circular response and $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued covariate are proposed and analyzed in this work both for independent and for spatially correlated data. The test statistics are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Andrea Meilán-Vila , Mario Francisco-Fernández , Rosa M. Crujeiras

We consider the problem of testing whether a multivariate distribution is axially symmetric about some unknown direction. Under a simple-spectrum assumption on the covariance matrix, any symmetry axis must coincide with an eigenvector of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Juan Cuesta-Albertos , Ricardo Fraiman , Manuel Hernández-Banadik

We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

The stability of a complex financial system may be assessed by measuring risk contagion between various financial institutions with relatively high exposure. We consider a financial network model using a bipartite graph of financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

We describe a method to determine the eigenvalue density of empirical covariance matrix in the presence of correlations between samples. This is a straightforward generalization of the method developed earlier by the authors for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz , B. Waclaw

In this study, we investigate the impact of covariance within uncertainties on the inference of cosmological and astrophysical parameters, specifically focusing on galaxy stellar mass functions derived from the CAMELS simulation suite.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-30 Yongseok Jo , Shy Genel , Joel Leja , Benjamin Wandelt

We propose new methods for multivariate linear regression when the regression coefficient matrix is sparse and the error covariance matrix is dense. We assume that the error covariance matrix has equicorrelation across the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Daeyoung Ham , Bradley S. Price , Adam J. Rothman