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Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

Arctic warming threatens over 100 billion in permafrost-dependent infrastructure across Northern territories, yet existing risk assessment frameworks lack spatiotemporal validation, uncertainty quantification, and operational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Boris Kriuk

This work focuses on the end-to-end forecast of global extreme marine heatwaves (MHWs), which are unusually warm sea surface temperature events with profound impacts on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-15 Ruiqi Shu , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruijian Gou , Kun Wang , Yanfei Xiang , Fan Xu , Qingsong Wen , Xiaomeng Huang

Most operational climate services providers base their seasonal predictions on initialised general circulation models (GCMs) or statistical techniques that fit past observations. GCMs require substantial computational resources, which…

Urban areas are increasingly vulnerable to thermal extremes driven by rapid urbanization and climate change. Traditionally, thermal extremes have been monitored using Earth-observing satellites and numerical modeling frameworks. For…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Baris Sarper Tezcan , Hrishikesh Viswanath , Rubab Saher , Daniel Aliaga

The predictability of climate anomalies in the regions of Northern Eurasia in connection with El Nino phenomena is analyzed. Particular attention is paid to the most likely transition in 2024 from an El Nino phase at the beginning of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 I. I. Mokhov

The last decade has seen numerous record-shattering heatwaves in all corners of the globe. In the aftermath of these devastating events, there is interest in identifying worst-case thresholds or upper bounds that quantify just how hot…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-24 Mark D. Risser , Likun Zhang , Michael F. Wehner

This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL) framework for 48-hour forecasting of temperature, solar irradiance, and relative humidity to support Model Predictive Control (MPC) in smart HVAC systems. The approach employs a stacked Bidirectional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Georgios Vamvouras , Konstantinos Braimakis , Christos Tzivanidis

Conformal prediction can yield statistically valid prediction intervals for any regression model, with no model modifications and small computational costs. To assess its practical value, we apply conformal methods to quantify uncertainty…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Miriam Simm , Corinna Hoose , Tom Beucler

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Accurate and efficient temperature prediction is critical for optimizing the preheating process of PET preforms in industrial microwave systems prior to blow molding. We propose a novel deep learning framework for generalized temperature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Ahmad Alsheikh , Andreas Fischer

With their continued increase in coverage and quality, data collected from personal air quality monitors has become an increasingly valuable tool to complement existing public health monitoring systems over urban areas. However, the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-01 Matthew Bonas , Stefano Castruccio

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

Understanding seasonal climatic conditions is critical for better management of resources such as water, energy and agriculture. Recently, there has been a great interest in utilizing the power of artificial intelligence methods in climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alper Unal , Busra Asan , Ismail Sezen , Bugra Yesilkaynak , Yusuf Aydin , Mehmet Ilicak , Gozde Unal

As global warming increases the complexity of weather patterns; the precision of weather forecasting becomes increasingly important. Our study proposes a novel preprocessing method and convolutional autoencoder model developed to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang , Minjong Cheon

As urbanization and climate change progress, urban heat island effects are becoming more frequent and severe. To formulate effective mitigation plans, cities require detailed air temperature data. However, predictive analytics methods based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-23 David Kreismann

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to…

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic climate change relies on historical instrumental data, yet observations from the early 20th century are sparse, fragmented, and uncertain. Conventional reconstructions rely on disparate statistical…

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