Related papers: Multivariate Self-Exciting Processes with Dependen…
Explaining artificial intelligence or machine learning models is increasingly important. To use such data-driven systems wisely we must understand how they interact with the world, including how they depend causally on data inputs. In this…
The paper deals with disorders detection in the multivariate stochastic process. We consider the multidimensional Poisson process or the multivariate renewal process. This class of processes can be used as a description of the distributed…
In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…
McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…
Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…
A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…
We introduce and study an alternative form of the chaotic expansion for counting processes using the Poisson imbedding representation; we name this alternative form \textit{pseudo-chaotic expansion}. As an application, we prove that the…
Dependent Dirichlet processes (DDP) have been widely applied to model data from distributions over collections of measures which are correlated in some way. On the other hand, in recent years, increasing research efforts in machine learning…
We present the Additive Poisson Process (APP), a novel framework that can model the higher-order interaction effects of the intensity functions in stochastic processes using lower dimensional projections. Our model combines the techniques…
The simulation of correlated multivariate Poisson processes with negative correlation between their components has many important applications in Finance, Insurance, Geophysics, and many other areas of applied probability. Introduced in our…
We investigate in multidimensional compound Poisson processes (CPP) the relation between the dependence structure of the jump distribution and the dependence structure of the respective components of the CPP itself. For this purpose the…
We consider a bivariate first hitting-time model in which durations are the crossing times of dependent compound Poisson processes with fixed thresholds. The identifiability of the model is discussed, and likelihood estimators of the model…
We give local and global existence and uniqueness results for systems of coupled FBSDEs in the multidimensional setting and with generators allowed to grow arbitrarily fast in the control variable. Our results are based on Malliavin…
Max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes play a central role in extreme-value theory and include the subclass of all max-stable processes. They allow for a constructive representation based on the pointwise maximum of random functions…
We present a nonparametric Bayesian joint model for multivariate continuous and categorical variables, with the intention of developing a flexible engine for multiple imputation of missing values. The model fuses Dirichlet process mixtures…
Since its inception, the neural estimation of mutual information (MI) has demonstrated the empirical success of modeling expected dependency between high-dimensional random variables. However, MI is an aggregate statistic and cannot be used…
In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…
In this paper, we study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with self-triggered strategies, where the idea of self-triggered control is extended to more generic MDP models. This extension broadens the application of self-triggering policies to…
This paper develops computationally feasible methods for estimating random effects models in the context of regression modelling of multiple independent time series of discrete valued counts in which there is serial dependence. Given…
We present the first exact analysis of some of the temporal properties of multivariate self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson processes, which constitute powerful representations of a large variety of systems with bursty events, for which…