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This paper studies estimation of causal effects in a panel data setting. We introduce a new estimator, the Triply RObust Panel (TROP) estimator, that combines (i) a flexible model for the potential outcomes based on a low-rank factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Davide Viviano

Progression free survival (PFS) and tumour response (TR) have been investigated as surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in advanced colorectal cancer (aCRC), however their validity has been shown to be suboptimal. In recent years,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-11 Eleni G. Elia , Nicolas Städler , Oriana Ciani , Rod S. Taylor , Sylwia Bujkiewicz

In this paper, we develop a semiparametric sensitivity analysis approach designed to address unmeasured confounding in observational studies with time-to-event outcomes. We target estimation of the marginal distributions of potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Linda Amoafo , Shiyao Xu , Elizabeth Platz , Daniel Scharfstein

It is increasingly common for therapies in oncology to be given in combination. In some cases, patients can benefit from the interaction between two drugs, although often at the risk of higher toxicity. A large number of designs to conduct…

Multi-arm multi-stage (MAMS) trials have gained popularity to enhance the efficiency of clinical trials, potentially reducing both duration and costs. This paper focuses on designing MAMS trials where no control treatment exists. This can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-12 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

Two-stage randomized experiments are becoming an increasingly popular experimental design for causal inference when the outcome of one unit may be affected by the treatment assignments of other units in the same cluster. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Zhichao Jiang , Kosuke Imai , Anup Malani

Breakthroughs in cancer biology have defined new research programs emphasizing the development of therapies that target specific pathways in tumor cells. Innovations in clinical trial design have followed with master protocols defined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Alexander M. Kaizer , Joseph S. Koopmeiners , Nan Chen , Brian P. Hobbs

Over time, clinical trials have increasingly incorporated complex design and analysis elements such as interim analyses, adaptations, multiple endpoints, and sophisticated multiplicity schemes for multiple endpoints and/or treatment arms…

We propose an extension of a standard stochastic individual-based model in population dynamics which broadens the range of biological applications. Our primary motivation is modelling of immunotherapy of malignant tumours. In this context…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-18 Martina Baar , Loren Coquille , Hannah Mayer , Michael Hölzel , Meri Rogava , Thomas Tüting , Anton Bovier

In meta-analytic modeling, the functional relationship between a primary and surrogate endpoint is estimated using summary data from a set of completed clinical trials. Parameters in the meta-analytic model are used to assess the quality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 James P. Long , Abhishikta Roy , Ehsan Irajizad , Kim-Anh Do , Yu Shen

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have gained a lot of attention in recent years, with the development of myriad extensions to the basic model, including those which allow for multivariate longitudinal data, competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Katya Mauff , Ewout Steyerberg , Isabella Kardys , Eric Boersma , Dimitris Rizopoulos

Technological advancements in the field of mobile devices and wearable sensors have helped overcome obstacles in the delivery of care, making it possible to deliver behavioral treatments anytime and anywhere. Increasingly the delivery of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Walter Dempsey , Peng Liao , Santosh Kumar , Susan A. Murphy

In recent years new cancer treatments improved survival in multiple histologies. Some of these therapeutics, and in particular treatment combinations, are often associated with severe treatment-related adverse events (AEs). It is therefore…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-10 Steffen Ventz , Lorenzo Trippa

The conventional phase II trial design paradigm is to make the go/no-go decision based on the hypothesis testing framework. Statistical significance itself alone, however, may not be sufficient to establish that the drug is clinically…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Yujie Zhao , Daniel Li , Rong Liu , Ying Yuan

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Friedman test is a nonparametric method that proposed for analyzing data from a randomized complete block design as a robust alternative to parametric method and widely applied in many fields such as agriculture, biology, business,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

Multi-cancer early detection (MCED) tests offer to screen for multiple types of cancer with a single blood sample. Despite their promising diagnostic performance, evidence regarding their population benefit is not yet available. Expecting…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-04 Jane M. Lange , Kemal C. Gogebakan , Roman Gulati , Ruth Etzioni

A general framework is proposed for Bayesian model-based designs of Phase I cancer trials, in which a general criterion for coherence (Cheung, 2005) of a design is also developed. This framework can incorporate both "individual" and…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-08 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

We propose a novel methodology to quantify the effect of stochastic interventions on non-terminal time-to-events that lie on the pathway between an exposure and a terminal time-to-event outcome. Investigating these effects is particularly…