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Stein showed that the multivariate sample mean is outperformed by "shrinking" to a constant target vector. Ledoit and Wolf extended this approach to the sample covariance matrix and proposed a multiple of the identity as shrinkage target.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-08 Daniel Bartz , Johannes Höhne , Klaus-Robert Müller

Estimation of the high-dimensional banded covariance matrix is widely used in multivariate statistical analysis. To ensure the validity of estimation, we aim to test the hypothesis that the covariance matrix is banded with a certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Xiaoyi Wang , Gongjun Xu , Shurong Zheng

We investigate the finite sample performance of sample splitting, cross-fitting and averaging for the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect. Recently proposed methods, so-called meta-learners, make use of machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Daniel Jacob

Despite a large and significant body of recent work focused on estimating the out-of-sample risk of regularized models in the high dimensional regime, a theoretical understanding of this problem for non-differentiable penalties such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Haolin Zou , Arnab Auddy , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Arian Maleki

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca

In this paper, we develop a novel high-dimensional coefficient estimation procedure based on high-frequency data. Unlike usual high-dimensional regression procedures such as LASSO, we additionally handle the heavy-tailedness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

The strength of association between a pair of data vectors is represented by a nonnegative real number, called matching weight. For dimensionality reduction, we consider a linear transformation of data vectors, and define a matching error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-15 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Tensor train decomposition is widely used in machine learning and quantum physics due to its concise representation of high-dimensional tensors, overcoming the curse of dimensionality. Cross approximation-originally developed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Zhen Qin , Alexander Lidiak , Zhexuan Gong , Gongguo Tang , Michael B. Wakin , Zhihui Zhu

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

This paper begins with a general theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for supervised learning from examples. It is assumed that the examples are described by attribute-value pairs, where the values are symbolic.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

We investigate the accuracy of the two most common estimators for the maximum expected value of a general set of random variables: a generalization of the maximum sample average, and cross validation. No unbiased estimator exists and we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-04 Hado van Hasselt

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices-including covariance and precision matrices-is a cornerstone of modern multivariate statistics. Most existing studies have focused primarily on the theoretical properties of the estimators…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Wan Tian , Hui Yang , Zhouhui Lian , Lingyue Zhang , Yijie Peng

This paper introduces e-fold cross-validation, an energy-efficient alternative to k-fold cross-validation. It dynamically adjusts the number of folds based on a stopping criterion. The criterion checks after each fold whether the standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Christopher Mahlich , Tobias Vente , Joeran Beel

We study estimator selection and hyper-parameter tuning in off-policy evaluation. Although cross-validation is the most popular method for model selection in supervised learning, off-policy evaluation relies mostly on theory, which provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Matej Cief , Branislav Kveton , Michal Kompan

In this paper, we consider testing the correlation coefficient matrix between two subsets of high-dimensional variables. We produce a test statistic by using the extended cross-data-matrix (ECDM) methodology and show the unbiasedness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Kazuyoshi Yata , Makoto Aoshima

The determination of the sample size required by a crossover trial typically depends on the specification of one or more variance components. Uncertainty about the value of these parameters at the design stage means that there is often a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for empirical risk minimizers. In the general setting, we prove sanity-check bounds in the spirit of \cite{KR99}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-02 Matthieu Cornec

We investigate block diagonal and hierarchical nested stochastic multivariate Gaussian models by studying their sample cross-correlation matrix on high dimensions. By performing numerical simulations, we compare a filtered sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Andrés García-Medina , Salvatore Miccichè , Rosario N. Mantegna