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We propose a novel approach to solving input- and state-constrained parametric mixed-integer optimal control problems using Differentiable Predictive Control (DPC). Our approach follows the differentiable programming paradigm by learning an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-25 Ján Boldocký , Shahriar Dadras Javan , Martin Gulan , Martin Mönnigmann , Ján Drgoňa

Forecasting faithful trajectories of multivariate time series from practical scopes is essential for reasonable decision-making. Recent methods majorly tailor generative conditional diffusion models to estimate the target temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Hui Xiong

We analyze a time-coarsening strategy for model predictive control (MPC) that we call diffusing-horizon MPC. This strategy seeks to overcome the computational challenges associated with optimal control problems that span multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Sungho Shin , Victor M. Zavala

Diffusion models exhibit excellent sample quality, but existing guidance methods often require additional model training or are limited to specific tasks. We revisit guidance in diffusion models from the perspective of variational inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Felix Draxler , Theofanis Karaletsos , Stephan Mandt

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

Diffusion models have gained attention for their ability to represent complex distributions and incorporate uncertainty, making them ideal for robust predictions in the presence of noisy or incomplete data. In this study, we develop and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Yilin Zhuang , Sibo Cheng , Karthik Duraisamy

Model-based reinforcement learning has the potential to be more sample efficient than model-free approaches. However, existing model-based methods are vulnerable to model bias, which leads to poor generalization and asymptotic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Tung-Long Vuong , Kenneth Tran

To provide robustness of distributed model predictive control (DMPC), this work proposes a robust DMPC formulation for discrete-time linear systems subject to unknown-but-bounded disturbances. Taking advantage of the structure of certain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-10 Ye Wang , Chris Manzie

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for central heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) plants. The framework uses real data to forecast and quantify uncertainty of disturbances affecting the system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Ranjeet Kumar , Michael J. Wenzel , Mohammad N. ElBsat , Michael J. Risbeck , Kirk H. Drees , Victor M. Zavala

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-15 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

Adaptive model predictive control (MPC) robustly ensures safety while reducing uncertainty during operation. In this paper, a distributed version is proposed to deal with network systems featuring multiple agents and limited communication.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-17 Anilkumar Parsi , Ahmed Aboudonia , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Wei Jiang , Zhongkai Yi , Li Wang , Hanwei Zhang , Jihai Zhang , Fangquan Lin , Cheng Yang

This paper investigates an optimal control problem for an adoption-opinion model that couples opinion dynamics with a compartmental adoption framework on a multilayer network to study the diffusion of sustainable behaviors. Adoption evolves…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-26 Martina Alutto , Qiulin Xu , Fabrizio Dabbene , Hideaki Ishii , Chiara Ravazzi

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Making the control of building heating systems more energy efficient is crucial for reducing global energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Traditional rule-based control methods use a static, outdoor temperature-dependent heating…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Emma Hannula , Arttu Häkkinen , Antti Solonen , Felipe Uribe , Jana de Wiljes , Lassi Roininen

We present Generative Predictive Control (GPC), an inference-time method for improving pretrained behavior-cloning policies without retraining. GPC augments a frozen diffusion policy at deployment with an action-conditioned world model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Han Qi , Haocheng Yin , Aris Zhu , Yilun Du , Heng Yang

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

Probabilistic forecasting provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems by representing predictions as probability distributions rather than deterministic trajectories. However, existing forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Tianlin Yang , Hailiang Du , Louis Aslett
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