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This paper presents a modified model predictive control (MPC) framework for real-time power system operation. The framework incorporates a diffusion model tailored for time series generation to enhance the accuracy of the load forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-16 Linna Xu , Yongli Zhu

We propose Diffusion Model Predictive Control (D-MPC), a novel MPC approach that learns a multi-step action proposal and a multi-step dynamics model, both using diffusion models, and combines them for use in online MPC. On the popular D4RL…

Diffusion models have become popular for policy learning in robotics due to their ability to capture high-dimensional and multimodal distributions. However, diffusion policies are stochastic and typically trained offline, limiting their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Ralf Römer , Alexander von Rohr , Angela P. Schoellig

Stochastic forecasting is critical for efficient decision-making in uncertain systems, such as energy markets and finance, where estimating the full distribution of future scenarios is essential. We propose Diffusion Scenario Tree (DST), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

We develop a novel data-driven robust model predictive control (DDRMPC) approach for automatic control of irrigation systems. The fundamental idea is to integrate both mechanistic models, which describe dynamics in soil moisture variations,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Chao Shang , Wei-Han Chen , Abraham Duncan Stroock , Fengqi You

Offline decision-making via diffusion models often produces trajectories that are misaligned with system dynamics, limiting their reliability for control. We propose Model Predictive Diffuser (MPDiffuser), a compositional diffusion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Haldun Balim , Na Li , Yilun Du

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

This paper presents a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) scheme for nonlinear continuous-time systems. The underlying distributed optimal control problem is cooperatively solved in parallel via a sensitivity-based algorithm. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Maximilian Pierer von Esch , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful method for complex system regulation, but its reliance on an accurate model poses many limitations in real-world applications. Data-driven predictive control (DDPC) aims at overcoming this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Alessandro Chiuso , Marco Fabris , Valentina Breschi , Simone Formentin

Distributed model predictive control methods for uncertain systems often suffer from considerable conservatism and can tolerate only small uncertainties due to the use of robust formulations that are amenable to distributed design and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-03 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

We present differentiable predictive control (DPC) as a deep learning-based alternative to the explicit model predictive control (MPC) for unknown nonlinear systems. In the DPC framework, a neural state-space model is learned from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-27 Jan Drgona , Karol Kis , Aaron Tuor , Draguna Vrabie , Martin Klauco

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Roberto Molinaro , Niall Siegenheim , Henry Martin , Mark Frey , Niels Poulsen , Philipp Seitz , Marvin Vincent Gabler

Model predictive control (MPC) is an effective approach to control multivariable dynamic systems with constraints. Most real dynamic models are however affected by plant-model mismatch and process uncertainties, which can lead to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-29 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

Achieving global optimality in nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is challenging due to the non-convex nature of the underlying optimization problem. Since commonly employed local optimization techniques depend on carefully chosen…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-19 Tzu-Yuan Huang , Armin Lederer , Nicolas Hoischen , Jan Brüdigam , Xuehua Xiao , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

In this paper, a distributed Model Predictive Control strategy is developed for a multi zone building plant with disturbances. The control objective is to maintain each zones temperature at a specified level with the minimum cost of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Roja Eini , Sherif Abdelwahed

We introduce data to predictive control, D2PC, a framework to facilitate the design of robust and predictive controllers from data. The proposed framework is designed for discrete-time stochastic linear systems with output measurements and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler
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