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This paper presents methods for analyzing spatial experiments when complex spillovers, displacement effects, and other types of "interference" are present. We present a robust, design-based approach to analyzing effects in such settings.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Cyrus Samii , Ye Wang , Jonathan Sullivan , Peter M. Aronow

We propose and study a fully efficient method to estimate associations of an exposure with disease incidence when both, incident cases and prevalent cases, i.e. individuals who were diagnosed with the disease at some prior time point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Marlena Maziarz , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin , Ruth Pfeiffer

We develop a causal inference approach to estimate the number of adverse health events prevented by large-scale air quality regulations via changes in exposure to multiple pollutants. This approach is motivated by regulations that impact…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Rachel C. Nethery , Fabrizia Mealli , Jason D. Sacks , Francesca Dominici

This work tackles the problem of uncertainty propagation in two-stage Bayesian models, with a focus on spatial applications. A two-stage modeling framework has the advantage of being more computationally efficient than a fully Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Stephen Jun Villejo , Sara Martino , Janine Illian , William Ryan , Finn Lindgren

In spite of the diverse literature on nonstationary spatial modeling and approximate Gaussian process (GP) methods, there are no general approaches for conducting fully Bayesian inference for moderately sized nonstationary spatial data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Mark D. Risser , Daniel Turek

A series of experiments in stationary and moving passenger rail cars were conducted to measure removal rates of particles in the size ranges of SARS-CoV-2 viral aerosols, and the air changes per hour provided by existing and modified air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Soumyakanti Pan , Darpan Das , Gurumurthy Ramachandran , Sudipto Banerjee

Astronomical observations of extended sources, such as cubes of integral field spectroscopy (IFS), encode auto-correlated spatial structures that cannot be optimally exploited by standard methodologies. This work introduces a novel…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-01 S. González-Gaitán , R. S. de Souza , A. Krone-Martins , E. Cameron , P. Coelho , L. Galbany , E. E. O. Ishida

We consider the task of identifying the causal parents of a target variable among a set of candidates from observational data. Our main assumption is that the candidate variables are observed in different environments which may, under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Alexander Mey , Rui Manuel Castro

Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz

This work studies lung tumor growth prediction from sparse and irregular longitudinal computed tomography (CT) observations with measurement variability. A Bayesian physics-informed neural network is developed by combining Gompertz growth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Lingfei Kong , Haoran Ma

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

Infectious diseases on farms pose both public and animal health risks, so understanding how they spread between farms is crucial for developing disease control strategies to prevent future outbreaks. We develop novel Bayesian nonparametric…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 R. G. Seymour , T. Kypraios , P. D. O'Neill , T. J. Hagenaars

Spatial survival analysis has received a great deal of attention over the last 20 years due to the important role that geographical information can play in predicting survival. This paper provides an introduction to a set of programs for…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-25 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson , Jiajia Zhang

Many countries are suffering from severe air pollution. Understanding how different air pollutants accumulate and propagate is critical to making relevant public policies. In this paper, we use urban big data (air quality data and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Julie Yixuan Zhu , Chao Zhang , Huichu Zhang , Shi Zhi , Victor O. K. Li , Jiawei Han , Yu Zheng

A successful model for high-dimensional spatial extremes should, in principle, be able to describe both weakening extremal dependence at increasing levels and changes in the type of extremal dependence class as a function of the distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Silius M. Vandeskog , Sara Martino , Raphaël Huser

We develop a convex framework for spatially varying coefficient quantile regression that, for each predictor, separates a location-invariant \emph{global} effect from a \emph{spatial deviation}. An adaptive group penalty selects whether a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Hou Jian , Meng Tan , Tian Maozai

Impact localisation on composite aircraft structures remains a significant challenge due to operational and environmental uncertainties, such as variations in temperature, impact mass, and energy levels. This study proposes a novel Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Dong Xiao , Zahra Sharif-Khodaei , M. H. Aliabadi

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas from ecology to epidemiology. However, most covariance functions describe spatial relationships based on Euclidean distance only. In this paper, we introduce the R package…

Gaussian process are a widely-used statistical tool for conducting non-parametric inference in applied sciences, with many computational packages available to fit to data and predict future observations. We study the use of the Greta…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-31 Eva Gunn , Nikhil Sengupta , Ben Swallow

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull
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