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Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

This paper models stochastic process of price time series of CSI 300 index in Chinese financial market, analyzes volatility characteristics of intraday high-frequency price data. In the new generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-19 Xianfei Hui , Baiqing Sun , Indranil SenGupta , Yan Zhou , Hui Jiang

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

We explore a link between stochastic volatility (SV) and path-dependent volatility (PDV) models. Using assumed density filtering, we map a given SV model into a corresponding PDV representation. The resulting specification is lightweight,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Samuel N. Cohen , Cephas Svosve

Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Christian Bayer , Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Benjamin Stemper , Mehdi Tomas

Volatility is a quantity of measurement for the price movements of stocks or options which indicates the uncertainty within financial markets. As an indicator of the level of risk or the degree of variation, volatility is important to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Qiang Zhang , Rui Luo , Yaodong Yang , Yuanyuan Liu

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

The Heston stochastic volatility model is a widely used tool in financial mathematics for pricing European options. However, its calibration remains computationally intensive and sensitive to local minima due to the model's nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Arman Zadgar , Somayeh Fallah , Farshid Mehrdoust , Juan E. Trinidad Segovia

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic volatility (SV) modeling by utilizing nonparametric techniques that enhance our ability to capture the volatility of financial time series data, with a particular emphasis on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

Straddle Option is a financial trading tool that explores volatility premiums in high-volatility markets without predicting price direction. Although deep reinforcement learning has emerged as a powerful approach to trading automation in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Yiran Wan , Xinyu Ying , Shengzhen Xu

This paper shows how to recover a stochastic volatility model (SVM) from a market model of the VIX futures term structure. Market models have more flexibility for fitting of curves than do SVMs, and therefore are better suited for pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Andrew Papanicolaou

Deep learning is a powerful tool whose applications in quantitative finance are growing every day. Yet, artificial neural networks behave as black boxes and this hinders validation and accountability processes. Being able to interpret the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-20 Damiano Brigo , Xiaoshan Huang , Andrea Pallavicini , Haitz Saez de Ocariz Borde

In a recent paper "Deep Learning Volatility" a fast 2-step deep calibration algorithm for rough volatility models was proposed: in the first step the time consuming mapping from the model parameter to the implied volatilities is learned by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-08 Dirk Roeder , Georgi Dimitroff

In this chapter we first briefly review the existing approaches to hedging in rough volatility models. Next, we present a simple but general result which shows that in a one-factor rough stochastic volatility model, any option may be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-11 Masaaki Fukasawa , Blanka Horvath , Peter Tankov

This work studies the deep learning-based numerical algorithms for optimal hedging problems in markets with general convex transaction costs on the trading rates, focusing on their scalability of trading time horizon. Based on the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-29 Xiaofei Shi , Daran Xu , Zhanhao Zhang

The quadratic rough Heston model provides a natural way to encode Zumbach effect in the rough volatility paradigm. We apply multi-factor approximation and use deep learning methods to build an efficient calibration procedure for this model.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-31 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

We propose a neural network-based approach to calibrating stochastic volatility models, which combines the pioneering grid approach by Horvath et al. (2021) with the pointwise two-stage calibration of Bayer et al. (2018) and Liu et al.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Fabio Baschetti , Giacomo Bormetti , Pietro Rossi

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ning Ning

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet