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In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Mariel Lovatto

We propose a single neural probabilistic model based on variational autoencoder that can be conditioned on an arbitrary subset of observed features and then sample the remaining features in "one shot". The features may be both real-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-01 Oleg Ivanov , Michael Figurnov , Dmitry Vetrov

Multivariate spatial modeling is key to understanding the behavior of materials downstream in a mining operation. The ore recovery depends on the mineralogical composition, which needs to be properly captured by the model to allow for good…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-03 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Area-specific causal inference is important in many policy and survey applications, where the goal is to evaluate treatment effects for small geographic or demographic domains. Existing causal small area estimation methods, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Tsubasa Ito , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this work, inspired by machine learning techniques, we propose a new Bayesian model for Small Area Estimation (SAE), the Fay-Herriot model with Spectral Clustering (FH-SC). Unlike traditional approaches, clustering in FH-SC is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Jairo Fúquene-Patiño

We develop Bayesian nonparametric models for spatially indexed data of mixed type. Our work is motivated by challenges that occur in environmental epidemiology, where the usual presence of several confounding variables that exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-17 Georgios Papageorgiou , Sylvia Richardson , Nicky Best

Improving health in the most disadvantaged populations requires reliable estimates of health and demographic indicators to inform policy and interventions. Low- and middle-income countries with the largest burden of disease and disability…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Austin E Schumacher , Jon Wakefield

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a popular deep latent variable model used to analyse high-dimensional datasets by learning a low-dimensional latent representation of the data. It simultaneously learns a generative model and an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Mine Öğretir , Siddharth Ramchandran , Dimitrios Papatheodorou , Harri Lähdesmäki

We introduce a general hierarchical Bayesian framework that incorporates a flexible nonparametric data model specification through the use of empirical likelihood methodology, which we term semiparametric hierarchical empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-16 Aaron T. Porter , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

This paper considers an estimation of semiparametric functional (varying)-coefficient quantile regression with spatial data. A general robust framework is developed that treats quantile regression for spatial data in a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Zudi Lu , Qingguo Tang , Longsheng Cheng

Spatiotemporal prediction aims to generate future sequences by paradigms learned from historical contexts. It is essential in numerous domains, such as traffic flow prediction and weather forecasting. Recently, research in this field has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Wenxuan Zhang , Xuechao Zou , Li Wu , Xiaoying Wang , Jianqiang Huang , Junliang Xing

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling

Traditional methods for spatial inference estimate smooth interpolating fields based on features measured at well-located points. When the spatial locations of some observations are missing, joint inference of the fields and locations is…

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-25 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

Statistical methods for inference on spatial extremes of large datasets are yet to be developed. Motivated by standard dimension reduction techniques used in spatial statistics, we propose an approach based on empirical basis functions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Samuel A. Morris , Brian J. Reich , Emeric Thibaud

There exists a correlation between geospatial activity temporal patterns and type of land use. A novel self-supervised approach is proposed to stratify landscape based on mobility activity time series. First, the time series signal is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Yi Cao , Swetava Ganguli , Vipul Pandey

The recently developed variational autoencoders (VAEs) have proved to be an effective confluence of the rich representational power of neural networks with Bayesian methods. However, most work on VAEs use a rather simple prior over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Prasoon Goyal , Zhiting Hu , Xiaodan Liang , Chenyu Wang , Eric Xing

In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Weather forecasting is a long-standing computational challenge with direct societal and economic impacts. This task involves a large amount of continuous data collection and exhibits rich spatiotemporal dependencies over long periods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jin Feng , Changyu Li , Jie Shao
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