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We present a novel control variate technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo (MC) estimation of expectations involving solutions to stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our method integrates a primary fine-time-step…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Josselin Garnier , Laurent Mertz

This paper presents a PDE approach as an alternative to Monte Carlo simulations for computing the invariant measure of a white-noise-driven bilinear oscillator with hysteresis. This model is widely used in engineering to represent highly…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-01-13 Lihong Guo , Harry L. F. Ip , Mingyang Wang

We propose algorithms for solving high-dimensional Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) that combine a probabilistic interpretation of PDEs, through Feynman-Kac representation, with sparse interpolation. Monte-Carlo methods and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Marie Billaud-Friess , Arthur Macherey , Anthony Nouy , Clémentine Prieur

We present a method for optimal control of systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with uncertain parameter fields. We consider an objective function that involves the mean and variance of the control objective, leading to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Alen Alexanderian , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

A hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) approach is employed to quantify the influence of inelastic deformation on the microstructural evolution of polycrystalline materials. This approach couples a time explicit material point method (MPM) for…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-19 Liangzhe Zhang , Remi Dingreville , Timothy Bartel , Mark T. Lusk

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

Variability in multiple independent input parameters makes it difficult to estimate the resultant variability in the system's overall response. The Propagation of Errors and Monte-Carlo techniques are two major methods to predict the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-28 Seungju Yeoa , Paul Funkenbuscha , Hesam Askari

Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

In the Monte Carlo (MC) method statistical noise is usually present. Statistical noise may become dominant in the calculation of a distribution, usually by iteration, but is less Important in calculating integrals. The subject of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2013-11-08 Mihály Makai , Zoltán Szatmáry

Brittle optimization has been observed to adversely impact model likelihoods for regression and VAEs when simultaneously fitting neural network mappings from a (random) variable onto the mean and variance of a dependent Gaussian variable.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Andrew Stirn , David A. Knowles

Conservation laws in the form of elliptic and parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental to the modeling of many problems such as heat transfer and flow in porous media. Many of such PDEs are stochastic due to the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-11-19 Amir H. Delgoshaie , Peter W. Glynn , Patrick Jenny , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

In this study, a new coupled Partial Differential Equation (CPDE) based image denoising model incorporating space-time regularization into non-linear diffusion is proposed. This proposed model is fitted with additive Gaussian noise which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Subit K. Jain , Sudeb Majee , Rajendra K. Ray , Ananta K. Majee

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

Partial differential equations (PDEs) with spatially-varying coefficients arise throughout science and engineering, modeling rich heterogeneous material behavior. Yet conventional PDE solvers struggle with the immense complexity found in…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Rohan Sawhney , Dario Seyb , Wojciech Jarosz , Keenan Crane

We investigate solution methods for large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) via Bayesian inference. The Bayesian framework provides a statistical setting to infer uncertain parameters from noisy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Mina Karimi , Mehrdad Massoudi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

The control variates method is a classical variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo estimators that exploits correlated auxiliary variables without introducing bias. In many applications, the quantity of interest can be expressed as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

A system of partial differential equations (PDEs) is derived to compute the full-field stress from an observed kinematic field when the flow rule governing the plastic deformation is unknown. These equations generalize previously proposed…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-01-19 Benjamin C. Cameron , Cem Tasan

A statistical learning approach for parametric PDEs related to Uncertainty Quantification is derived. The method is based on the minimization of an empirical risk on a selected model class and it is shown to be applicable to a broad range…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Wolf

In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

This paper presents a data-driven framework for modeling plastic deformation in crystalline metals through acoustic emission (AE) analysis. Building on experimental data from compressive loading of nickel micropillars, the study introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Khalid El-Awady
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