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We present a novel end-to-end diffusion-based trajectory generation method, DTG, for mapless global navigation in challenging outdoor scenarios with occlusions and unstructured off-road features like grass, buildings, bushes, etc. Given a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Jing Liang , Amirreza Payandeh , Daeun Song , Xuesu Xiao , Dinesh Manocha

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

Effective trajectory stitching for long-horizon planning is a significant challenge in robotic decision-making. While diffusion models have shown promise in planning, they are limited to solving tasks similar to those seen in their training…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Yunhao Luo , Utkarsh A. Mishra , Yilun Du , Danfei Xu

Diffusion models exhibit excellent sample quality, but existing guidance methods often require additional model training or are limited to specific tasks. We revisit guidance in diffusion models from the perspective of variational inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Felix Draxler , Theofanis Karaletsos , Stephan Mandt

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper presents a strictly convex chance-constrained stochastic control framework that accounts for uncertainty in control specifications such as reference trajectories and operational constraints. By jointly optimizing control inputs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Teruki Kato , Ryotaro Shima , Kenji Kashima

We study conditional generation in diffusion models under hard constraints, where generated samples must satisfy prescribed events with probability one. Such constraints arise naturally in safety-critical applications and in rare-event…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Zhengyi Guo , Wenpin Tang , Renyuan Xu

Graph diffusion models have emerged as state-of-the-art techniques in graph generation; yet, integrating domain knowledge into these models remains challenging. Domain knowledge is particularly important in real-world scenarios, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Manuel Madeira , Clement Vignac , Dorina Thanou , Pascal Frossard

Diffusion models are promising for joint trajectory prediction and controllable generation in autonomous driving, but they face challenges of inefficient inference steps and high computational demands. To tackle these challenges, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Yixiao Wang , Chen Tang , Lingfeng Sun , Simone Rossi , Yichen Xie , Chensheng Peng , Thomas Hannagan , Stefano Sabatini , Nicola Poerio , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

We present a novel robust control framework for continuous-time, perturbed nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertainty that depends nonlinearly on both the state and control inputs. Unlike conventional approaches that impose structural…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Sihang Wei , Melkior Ornik , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

Trajectory prediction of aerial vehicles is a key requirement in applications ranging from missile guidance to UAV collision avoidance. While most prediction methods assume deterministic target motion, real-world targets often exhibit…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Marc Schneider , Renato Loureiro , Torbjørn Cunis , Walter Fichter

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

Modifications to test-time sampling have emerged as an important extension to diffusion algorithms, with the goal of biasing the generative process to achieve a given objective without having to retrain the entire diffusion model. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Hao Luan , Yi Xian Goh , See-Kiong Ng , Chun Kai Ling

Accurate aircraft trajectory prediction (TP) in air traffic management systems is confounded by a number of epistemic uncertainties, dominated by uncertain meteorological conditions and operator specific procedures. Handling this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Amy Hodgkin , Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Simultaneously accurate and reliable tracking control for quadrotors in complex dynamic environments is challenging. As aerodynamics derived from drag forces and moment variations are chaotic and difficult to precisely identify, most…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yanran Wang , David Boyle

Structured prediction tasks pose a fundamental trade-off between the need for model complexity to increase predictive power and the limited computational resources for inference in the exponentially-sized output spaces such models require.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-17 David Weiss , Benjamin Sapp , Ben Taskar

Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

This work establishes a crucial step toward advancing data-driven trajectory-based methods for stochastic systems with unknown mathematical dynamics. In contrast to scenario-based approaches that rely on independent and identically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Abolfazl Lavaei