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This paper presents two direct parameterizations of stable and robust linear parameter-varying state-space (LPV-SS) models. The model parametrizations guarantee a priori that for all parameter values during training, the allowed models are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-24 Chris Verhoek , Ruigang Wang , Roland Tóth

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

We consider the adaptive control problem for discrete-time, nonlinear stochastic systems with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming access to a parameterised family of controllers that can stabilise the system in a bounded set within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

Many real-world dynamical systems can be described as State-Space Models (SSMs). In this formulation, each observation is emitted by a latent state, which follows first-order Markovian dynamics. A Probabilistic Deep SSM (ProDSSM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

We develop a stochastic parametrization, based on a `simple' deterministic model for the dynamics of steady longshore currents, that produces ensembles that are statistically consistent with field observations of these currents. Unlike…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-06 Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

We present a computational framework to investigate steady state distributions and perform stability analysis for random ordinary differential equations driven by parameter uncertainty. Using the nonlinear Rosenzweig McArthur predator prey…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Wolfgang Hoegele

Steady state is an essential concept in reaction networks. Its stability reflects fundamental characteristics of several biological phenomena such as cellular signal transduction and gene expression. Because biochemical reactions occur at…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-19 Tan Van Vu , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

We aim at providing a characterization of the ability to maintain a stochastic coupled system with porous media components in a prescribed set of constraints by using internal controls. This property is proven via a quasi-tangency…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Ioana Ciotir , Dan Goreac , Ionut Munteanu

We establish a multiparameter extension of the stochastic sewing lemma. This allows us to derive novel regularity estimates on the local time of locally non-deterministic Gaussian fields. These estimates are sufficiently strong to derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Florian Bechtold , Fabian A. Harang , Hannes Kern

This paper presents a novel framework for stabilizing nonlinear systems represented in state-dependent form. We first reformulate the nonlinear dynamics as a state-dependent parameter-varying model and synthesize a stabilizing controller…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Lidong Li , Rui Huang , Lin Zhao

The present paper proposes a novel Bayesian, computational strategy in the context of model-based inverse problems in elastostatics. On one hand we attempt to provide probabilistic estimates of the material properties and their spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-21 P. S. Koutsourelakis

Employing model predictive control to systems with unbounded, stochastic disturbances poses the challenge of guaranteeing safety, i.e., repeated feasibility and stability of the closed-loop system. Especially, there are no strict repeated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-11 Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

This paper introduces new model parameterizations for learning discrete-time dynamical systems from data via the Koopman operator and studies their properties. Whereas most existing works on Koopman learning do not take into account the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-09 Fletcher Fan , Bowen Yi , David Rye , Guodong Shi , Ian R. Manchester

Literatures in state space models focus on parametric inference and prediction, which fail if the state space model is not fully specified and the maximum likelihood estimation does not work. In this paper, we assume the state transition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Yunyi Zhang , Tingting Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper deals with the problem of covariance stabilization for a class of linear stochastic discrete-time systems in the Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework. The considered systems are affected by independent and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Kaouther Moussa , Dimitri Peaucelle
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