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Conformal prediction (CP) has been a popular method for uncertainty quantification because it is distribution-free, model-agnostic, and theoretically sound. For forecasting problems in supervised learning, most CP methods focus on building…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Chen Xu , Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

We propose a post-hoc, computationally lightweight method to quantify predictive uncertainty in semantic image segmentation. Our approach uses conformal prediction to generate statistically valid prediction sets that are guaranteed to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Luca Mossina , Joseba Dalmau , Léo andéol

Probabilistic collision detection (PCD) is essential in motion planning for robots operating in unstructured environments, where considering sensing uncertainty helps prevent damage. Existing PCD methods mainly used simplified geometric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Xiaoli Wang , Sipu Ruan , Xin Meng , Gregory Chirikjian

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

Treatment effect estimation is essential for informed decision-making in many fields such as healthcare, economics, and public policy. While flexible machine learning models have been widely applied for estimating heterogeneous treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Pascal Memmesheimer , Vincent Heuveline , Jürgen Hesser

In this study, we propose a fast and accurate method to automatically localize anatomical landmarks in medical images. We employ a global-to-local localization approach using fully convolutional neural networks (FCNNs). First, a global FCNN…

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for developing machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in predictive atomistic simulations. Conformal prediction (CP) is a statistical framework that constructs prediction…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Cheuk Hin Ho , Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

Conformal prediction is a statistical tool for producing prediction regions for machine learning models that are valid with high probability. A key component of conformal prediction algorithms is a \emph{non-conformity score function} that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Renukanandan Tumu , Matthew Cleaveland , Rahul Mangharam , George J. Pappas , Lars Lindemann

The fundamental problem with ultrasound-guided diagnosis is that the acquired images are often 2-D cross-sections of a 3-D anatomy, potentially missing important anatomical details. This limitation leads to challenges in ultrasound…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Ang Nan Gu , Michael Tsang , Hooman Vaseli , Teresa Tsang , Purang Abolmaesumi

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

Recent works have shown that deep neural networks can achieve super-human performance in a wide range of image classification tasks in the medical imaging domain. However, these works have primarily focused on classification accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Gongbo Liang , Yu Zhang , Xiaoqin Wang , Nathan Jacobs

Shape completion, i.e., predicting the complete geometry of an object from a partial observation, is highly relevant for several downstream tasks, most notably robotic manipulation. When basing planning or prediction of real grasps on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Matthias Humt , Dominik Winkelbauer , Ulrich Hillenbrand

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for building reliable and trustable machine learning systems. We propose to estimate uncertainty in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) via stochastic discrete state transitions over recurrent timesteps.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Cheng Wang , Carolin Lawrence , Mathias Niepert

The recent developments of complex deep learning models have led to unprecedented ability to accurately predict across multiple data representation types. Conformal prediction for uncertainty quantification of these models has risen in…

Deep learning models for medical imaging often exhibit overconfidence, creating safety risks in ambiguous diagnostic scenarios. While Conformal Prediction (CP) provides distribution-free statistical guarantees, standard methods such as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 One Octadion , Novanto Yudistira , Lailil Muflikhah

State-of-the-art lidar place recognition models exhibit unreliable performance when tested on environments different from their training dataset, which limits their use in complex and evolving environments. To address this issue, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Keita Mason , Joshua Knights , Milad Ramezani , Peyman Moghadam , Dimity Miller

Deep learning based methods for automatic organ segmentation have shown promise in aiding diagnosis and treatment planning. However, quantifying and understanding the uncertainty associated with model predictions is crucial in critical…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Jadie Adams , Shireen Y. Elhabian

Anatomical landmark localization in 2D/3D images is a critical task in medical imaging. Although many general-purpose tools exist for landmark localization in classical computer vision tasks, such as pose estimation, they lack the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jef Jonkers , Luc Duchateau , Glenn Van Wallendael , Sofie Van Hoecke

3D microscopy is key in the investigation of diverse biological systems, and the ever increasing availability of large datasets demands automatic cell identification methods that not only are accurate, but also can imply the uncertainty in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Alvaro Gomariz , Tiziano Portenier , César Nombela-Arrieta , Orcun Goksel