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The focus of this paper is on linear system identification in the setting where it is known that the underlying partially-observed linear dynamical system lies within a finite collection of known candidate models. We first consider the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Haoyuan Sun , Ali Jadbabaie

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Magdalena Lucini

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

The problem of system identification for the Kalman filter, relying on the expectation-maximization (EM) procedure to learn the underlying parameters of a dynamical system, has largely been studied assuming that observations are sampled at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Peter Halmos , Jonathan Pillow , David A. Knowles

This paper presents a discrete-time nonlinear system identification method while satisfying the stability and safety properties of the system with high probability. An Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is used with a Gaussian assumption on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Iman Salehi , Tyler Taplin , Ashwin P. Dani

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Causal discovery is a difficult problem that typically relies on strong assumptions on the data-generating model, such as non-Gaussianity. In practice, many modern applications provide multiple related views of the same system, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Ambroise Heurtebise , Omar Chehab , Pierre Ablin , Alexandre Gramfort , Aapo Hyvärinen

This paper concerns the identification of continuous-time systems in state-space form that are subject to Lebesgue sampling. Contrary to equidistant (Riemann) sampling, Lebesgue sampling consists of taking measurements of a continuous-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-10 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño , María Coronel , Juan C. Agüero , Cristian R. Rojas

Structural identification and damage detection can be generalized as the simultaneous estimation of input forces, physical parameters, and dynamical states. Although Kalman-type filters are efficient tools to address this problem, the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-04 Daniz Teymouri , Omid Sedehi , Lambros S. Katafygiotis , Costas Papadimitriou

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

In continuous-time system identification, the intersample behavior of the input signal is known to play a crucial role in the performance of estimation methods. One common input behavior assumption is that the spectrum of the input is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-22 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper describes a method for the online state estimation of systems described by a general class of linear noncausal time-varying difference descriptor equations subject to uncertainties. The method is based on the notions of a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-11-09 Serhiy M. Zhuk

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a powerful method for detecting causality in coupled nonlinear dynamical systems, providing a model-free approach to capture dynamic causal interactions. Partial Cross Mapping (PCM) was introduced as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Elise Zhang , François Mirallès , Raphaël Rousseau-Rizzi , Arnaud Zinflou , Di Wu , Benoit Boulet

Most studies in real time change-point detection either focus on the linear model or use the CUSUM method under classical assumptions on model errors. This paper considers the sequential change-point detection in a nonlinear quantile model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Gabriela Ciuperca

Recently, the sinosoidal output response in power series (SORPS) formalism was presented for system identification and simulation. Based on the concept of characteristic curves (CCs), it establishes a mathematical connection between power…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2024-07-04 Federico Javier Gonzalez

Anomaly detection systems need to consider a lot of information when scanning for anomalies. One example is the context of the process in which an anomaly might occur, because anomalies for one process might not be anomalies for a different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Sebastian Eresheim , Lukas Daniel Klausner , Patrick Kochberger

Causal discovery between collections of time-series data can help diagnose causes of symptoms and hopefully prevent faults before they occur. However, reliable causal discovery can be very challenging, especially when the data acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Haonan Chen , Bo Yuan Chang , Mohamed A. Naiel , Georges Younes , Steven Wardell , Stan Kleinikkink , John S. Zelek