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We propose an end-to-end distributionally robust system for portfolio construction that integrates the asset return prediction model with a distributionally robust portfolio optimization model. We also show how to learn the risk-tolerance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-13 Giorgio Costa , Garud N. Iyengar

Ensemble models are powerful model building tools that are developed with a focus to improve the accuracy of model predictions. They find applications in time series forecasting in varied scenarios including but not limited to process…

Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization are vulnerable under distributional shifts due to the greedy adoption of all the correlations found in training data. There is an emerging literature on tackling this problem by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Linjun Zhou , Kun Kuang , Bo Li

Financial markets are integral to a country's economic success, yet their complex nature raises challenging issues for predicting their behaviors. There is a growing demand for an integrated system that explores the vast and diverse data in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-10 Ali Abrishami , Jafar Habibi , AmirAli Jarrahi , Dariush Amiri , MohammadAmin Fazli

Classical portfolio optimization often requires forecasting asset returns and their corresponding variances in spite of the low signal-to-noise ratio provided in the financial markets. Modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) offers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Daniele Tantari

The online portfolio selection (OLPS) problem differs from classical portfolio model problems, as it involves making sequential investment decisions. Many OLPS strategies described in the literature capture market movement based on various…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-03 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

Recent studies have shown that ensemble approaches could not only improve accuracy and but also estimate model uncertainty in deep learning. However, it requires a large number of parameters according to the increase of ensemble models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Hong Joo Lee , Seong Tae Kim , Hakmin Lee , Nassir Navab , Yong Man Ro

Calibrating the confidence of supervised learning models is important for a variety of contexts where the certainty over predictions should be reliable. However, it has been reported that deep neural network models are often too poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Changjian Shui , Azadeh Sadat Mozafari , Jonathan Marek , Ihsen Hedhli , Christian Gagné

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Automating machine learning has achieved remarkable technological developments in recent years, and building an automated machine learning pipeline is now an essential task. The model ensemble is the technique of combining multiple models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Yunpu Zhao , Rui Zhang , Xiaqing Li

Most recent semi-supervised deep learning (deep SSL) methods used a similar paradigm: use network predictions to update pseudo-labels and use pseudo-labels to update network parameters iteratively. However, they lack theoretical support and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Guo-Hua Wang , Jianxin Wu

Deep supervised learning algorithms typically require a large volume of labeled data to achieve satisfactory performance. However, the process of collecting and labeling such data can be expensive and time-consuming. Self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jie Gui , Tuo Chen , Jing Zhang , Qiong Cao , Zhenan Sun , Hao Luo , Dacheng Tao

We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Large-scale pre-trained language models have achieved impressive results on a wide range of downstream tasks recently. However, fine-tuning an extremely large-scale pre-trained language model on limited target datasets is often plagued by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Haojie Zhang , Ge Li , Jia Li , Zhongjin Zhang , Yuqi Zhu , Zhi Jin

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue

Ensembling neural networks is an effective way to increase accuracy, and can often match the performance of individual larger models. This observation poses a natural question: given the choice between a deep ensemble and a single neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Taiga Abe , E. Kelly Buchanan , Geoff Pleiss , Richard Zemel , John P. Cunningham

We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-20 Guosheng Hu , Yuxin Hu , Kai Yang , Zehao Yu , Flood Sung , Zhihong Zhang , Fei Xie , Jianguo Liu , Neil Robertson , Timothy Hospedales , Qiangwei Miemie

High-dimensional, low sample-size (HDLSS) data problems have been a topic of immense importance for the last couple of decades. There is a vast literature that proposed a wide variety of approaches to deal with this situation, among which…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Kaixu Yang , Tapabrata Maiti

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

A combinatory approach of two well-known fields: deep learning and semi supervised learning is presented, to tackle the land cover identification problem. The proposed methodology demonstrates the impact on the performance of deep learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Eftychios Protopapadakis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Evangelos Maltezos
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